OpenAI’s reported pivot toward a 2027 listing to secure a $1 trillion-plus valuation underpins the 75.5% market-implied probability against a pre-2027 debut. After confidentially filing an S-1 in June 2026 and hiring lead underwriters, executives faced a choice between accelerating at a lower price or waiting for stronger financials and market conditions; CEO Sam Altman reportedly rejected any valuation below the $1 trillion target as a non-starter. Recent private rounds valued the company near $850 billion, with monthly revenue at $2 billion but profitability still elusive, while volatility in comparable tech debuts like SpaceX has cooled enthusiasm for rushed large-cap AI offerings. Traders are watching for revenue acceleration, enterprise adoption trends, or clearer regulatory signals that could shift the timeline.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว25% โอกาส
$296,332 ปริมาณ
$296,332 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
25% โอกาส
$296,332 ปริมาณ
$296,332 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI completes an initial public offering (IPO) valued at $1 trillion USD or higher at the time of the IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”
An “initial public offering (IPO)” refers to the first sale of OpenAI’s equity securities to the public through a regulated stock exchange.
OpenAI will be considered to have achieved a $1 trillion valuation if the market capitalization implied by the IPO offering price multiplied by the total number of outstanding shares equals or exceeds $1 trillion USD.
Announcements, filings, or planned IPOs that do not result in public trading by that time will not qualify. Private funding rounds, secondary share sales, or employee-share transactions will not be considered. A direct listing or merger via SPAC will qualify only if it results in OpenAI’s common shares becoming publicly traded for the first time on a major exchange.
If OpenAI’s IPO is priced before the resolution deadline but public trading has not yet commenced, the market may remain open for up to 30 calendar days to determine whether the IPO is completed.
If OpenAI is acquired, dissolved, or merged into another entity before an IPO occurs, this market will resolve to “No.” In the event of a restructuring, the market will resolve based on the entity legally recognized as OpenAI’s successor will
The resolution source will be a consensus for credible reporting.OpenAI’s reported pivot toward a 2027 listing to secure a $1 trillion-plus valuation underpins the 75.5% market-implied probability against a pre-2027 debut. After confidentially filing an S-1 in June 2026 and hiring lead underwriters, executives faced a choice between accelerating at a lower price or waiting for stronger financials and market conditions; CEO Sam Altman reportedly rejected any valuation below the $1 trillion target as a non-starter. Recent private rounds valued the company near $850 billion, with monthly revenue at $2 billion but profitability still elusive, while volatility in comparable tech debuts like SpaceX has cooled enthusiasm for rushed large-cap AI offerings. Traders are watching for revenue acceleration, enterprise adoption trends, or clearer regulatory signals that could shift the timeline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI completes an initial public offering (IPO) valued at $1 trillion USD or higher at the time of the IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”
An “initial public offering (IPO)” refers to the first sale of OpenAI’s equity securities to the public through a regulated stock exchange.
OpenAI will be considered to have achieved a $1 trillion valuation if the market capitalization implied by the IPO offering price multiplied by the total number of outstanding shares equals or exceeds $1 trillion USD.
Announcements, filings, or planned IPOs that do not result in public trading by that time will not qualify. Private funding rounds, secondary share sales, or employee-share transactions will not be considered. A direct listing or merger via SPAC will qualify only if it results in OpenAI’s common shares becoming publicly traded for the first time on a major exchange.
If OpenAI’s IPO is priced before the resolution deadline but public trading has not yet commenced, the market may remain open for up to 30 calendar days to determine whether the IPO is completed.
If OpenAI is acquired, dissolved, or merged into another entity before an IPO occurs, this market will resolve to “No.” In the event of a restructuring, the market will resolve based on the entity legally recognized as OpenAI’s successor will
The resolution source will be a consensus for credible reporting.
An “initial public offering (IPO)” refers to the first sale of OpenAI’s equity securities to the public through a regulated stock exchange.
OpenAI will be considered to have achieved a $1 trillion valuation if the market capitalization implied by the IPO offering price multiplied by the total number of outstanding shares equals or exceeds $1 trillion USD.
Announcements, filings, or planned IPOs that do not result in public trading by that time will not qualify. Private funding rounds, secondary share sales, or employee-share transactions will not be considered. A direct listing or merger via SPAC will qualify only if it results in OpenAI’s common shares becoming publicly traded for the first time on a major exchange.
If OpenAI’s IPO is priced before the resolution deadline but public trading has not yet commenced, the market may remain open for up to 30 calendar days to determine whether the IPO is completed.
If OpenAI is acquired, dissolved, or merged into another entity before an IPO occurs, this market will resolve to “No.” In the event of a restructuring, the market will resolve based on the entity legally recognized as OpenAI’s successor will
The resolution source will be a consensus for credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 29, 2025, 8:29 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$296,332วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 29, 2025, 8:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI completes an initial public offering (IPO) valued at $1 trillion USD or higher at the time of the IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”
An “initial public offering (IPO)” refers to the first sale of OpenAI’s equity securities to the public through a regulated stock exchange.
OpenAI will be considered to have achieved a $1 trillion valuation if the market capitalization implied by the IPO offering price multiplied by the total number of outstanding shares equals or exceeds $1 trillion USD.
Announcements, filings, or planned IPOs that do not result in public trading by that time will not qualify. Private funding rounds, secondary share sales, or employee-share transactions will not be considered. A direct listing or merger via SPAC will qualify only if it results in OpenAI’s common shares becoming publicly traded for the first time on a major exchange.
If OpenAI’s IPO is priced before the resolution deadline but public trading has not yet commenced, the market may remain open for up to 30 calendar days to determine whether the IPO is completed.
If OpenAI is acquired, dissolved, or merged into another entity before an IPO occurs, this market will resolve to “No.” In the event of a restructuring, the market will resolve based on the entity legally recognized as OpenAI’s successor will
The resolution source will be a consensus for credible reporting.OpenAI’s reported pivot toward a 2027 listing to secure a $1 trillion-plus valuation underpins the 75.5% market-implied probability against a pre-2027 debut. After confidentially filing an S-1 in June 2026 and hiring lead underwriters, executives faced a choice between accelerating at a lower price or waiting for stronger financials and market conditions; CEO Sam Altman reportedly rejected any valuation below the $1 trillion target as a non-starter. Recent private rounds valued the company near $850 billion, with monthly revenue at $2 billion but profitability still elusive, while volatility in comparable tech debuts like SpaceX has cooled enthusiasm for rushed large-cap AI offerings. Traders are watching for revenue acceleration, enterprise adoption trends, or clearer regulatory signals that could shift the timeline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI completes an initial public offering (IPO) valued at $1 trillion USD or higher at the time of the IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”
An “initial public offering (IPO)” refers to the first sale of OpenAI’s equity securities to the public through a regulated stock exchange.
OpenAI will be considered to have achieved a $1 trillion valuation if the market capitalization implied by the IPO offering price multiplied by the total number of outstanding shares equals or exceeds $1 trillion USD.
Announcements, filings, or planned IPOs that do not result in public trading by that time will not qualify. Private funding rounds, secondary share sales, or employee-share transactions will not be considered. A direct listing or merger via SPAC will qualify only if it results in OpenAI’s common shares becoming publicly traded for the first time on a major exchange.
If OpenAI’s IPO is priced before the resolution deadline but public trading has not yet commenced, the market may remain open for up to 30 calendar days to determine whether the IPO is completed.
If OpenAI is acquired, dissolved, or merged into another entity before an IPO occurs, this market will resolve to “No.” In the event of a restructuring, the market will resolve based on the entity legally recognized as OpenAI’s successor will
The resolution source will be a consensus for credible reporting.
An “initial public offering (IPO)” refers to the first sale of OpenAI’s equity securities to the public through a regulated stock exchange.
OpenAI will be considered to have achieved a $1 trillion valuation if the market capitalization implied by the IPO offering price multiplied by the total number of outstanding shares equals or exceeds $1 trillion USD.
Announcements, filings, or planned IPOs that do not result in public trading by that time will not qualify. Private funding rounds, secondary share sales, or employee-share transactions will not be considered. A direct listing or merger via SPAC will qualify only if it results in OpenAI’s common shares becoming publicly traded for the first time on a major exchange.
If OpenAI’s IPO is priced before the resolution deadline but public trading has not yet commenced, the market may remain open for up to 30 calendar days to determine whether the IPO is completed.
If OpenAI is acquired, dissolved, or merged into another entity before an IPO occurs, this market will resolve to “No.” In the event of a restructuring, the market will resolve based on the entity legally recognized as OpenAI’s successor will
The resolution source will be a consensus for credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$296,332วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 29, 2025, 8:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s reported pivot toward a 2027 listing to secure a $1 trillion-plus valuation underpins the 75.5% market-implied probability against a pre-2027 debut. After confidentially filing an S-1 in June 2026 and hiring lead underwriters, executives faced a choice between accelerating at a lower price or waiting for stronger financials and market conditions; CEO Sam Altman reportedly rejected any valuation below the $1 trillion target as a non-starter. Recent private rounds valued the company near $850 billion, with monthly revenue at $2 billion but profitability still elusive, while volatility in comparable tech debuts like SpaceX has cooled enthusiasm for rushed large-cap AI offerings. Traders are watching for revenue acceleration, enterprise adoption trends, or clearer regulatory signals that could shift the timeline.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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