Recent dry conditions across southeast England, including London, with minimal rainfall recorded through mid-May, have elevated trader focus on the 10–20 mm total precipitation outcomes. Climatological averages for the month hover near 50 mm, but persistent high-pressure patterns and subdued Atlantic moisture transport have suppressed convective activity and frontal systems so far. Extended-range forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF indicate below-normal rainfall probabilities for the remaining fortnight, though model spread introduces uncertainty around potential late-month showers. These factors align with the closely matched leading probabilities near 41–42 %, reflecting trader assessment of ongoing subsidence and limited orographic enhancement over the region.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วPrecipitation in London in May?
Precipitation in London in May?
30mm+ 33%
20-25mm 31%
5-10mm 3.1%
<5mm 0
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 31, 2026
<5mm
32%
5-10mm
3%
10-15mm
41%
15-20mm
43%
20-25mm
26%
25-30mm
43%
30mm+
33%
30mm+ 33%
20-25mm 31%
5-10mm 3.1%
<5mm 0
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 31, 2026
<5mm
$242 ปริมาณ
32%
5-10mm
$273 ปริมาณ
3%
10-15mm
$95 ปริมาณ
41%
15-20mm
$44 ปริมาณ
43%
20-25mm
$1,045 ปริมาณ
26%
25-30mm
$48 ปริมาณ
43%
30mm+
$129 ปริมาณ
33%
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in May, 2026, according to the Met Office.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for May 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of May 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent dry conditions across southeast England, including London, with minimal rainfall recorded through mid-May, have elevated trader focus on the 10–20 mm total precipitation outcomes. Climatological averages for the month hover near 50 mm, but persistent high-pressure patterns and subdued Atlantic moisture transport have suppressed convective activity and frontal systems so far. Extended-range forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF indicate below-normal rainfall probabilities for the remaining fortnight, though model spread introduces uncertainty around potential late-month showers. These factors align with the closely matched leading probabilities near 41–42 %, reflecting trader assessment of ongoing subsidence and limited orographic enhancement over the region.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in May, 2026, according to the Met Office.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for May 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of May 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for May 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of May 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 28, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,876วันสิ้นสุด
May 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 28, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in May, 2026, according to the Met Office.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for May 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of May 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent dry conditions across southeast England, including London, with minimal rainfall recorded through mid-May, have elevated trader focus on the 10–20 mm total precipitation outcomes. Climatological averages for the month hover near 50 mm, but persistent high-pressure patterns and subdued Atlantic moisture transport have suppressed convective activity and frontal systems so far. Extended-range forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF indicate below-normal rainfall probabilities for the remaining fortnight, though model spread introduces uncertainty around potential late-month showers. These factors align with the closely matched leading probabilities near 41–42 %, reflecting trader assessment of ongoing subsidence and limited orographic enhancement over the region.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in May, 2026, according to the Met Office.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for May 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of May 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for May 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of May 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,876วันสิ้นสุด
May 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 28, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent dry conditions across southeast England, including London, with minimal rainfall recorded through mid-May, have elevated trader focus on the 10–20 mm total precipitation outcomes. Climatological averages for the month hover near 50 mm, but persistent high-pressure patterns and subdued Atlantic moisture transport have suppressed convective activity and frontal systems so far. Extended-range forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF indicate below-normal rainfall probabilities for the remaining fortnight, though model spread introduces uncertainty around potential late-month showers. These factors align with the closely matched leading probabilities near 41–42 %, reflecting trader assessment of ongoing subsidence and limited orographic enhancement over the region.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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