Global seismic monitoring by the USGS indicates that Pacific Ring of Fire subduction zones have generated several magnitude 5.5+ events through mid-May, with a confirmed M6.0 near Nena, Philippines, and additional M5.5–5.7 shocks offshore Tonga and the Solomon Islands elevating the weekly tally. These plate-boundary interactions produce aftershock sequences and moderate daily counts of M5.0–5.9 events consistent with background rates yet clustered by recent strain release. Trader consensus favors six total quakes at 34 percent because ongoing offshore detections could add one or two more before the May 17 close, while the narrow spread among five, six, and seven outcomes reflects uncertainty over whether aftershocks will push the final count higher or stabilize near the current pace.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHow many 5.5 or above earthquakes May 11 - May 17?
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes May 11 - May 17?
5 30%
6 22%
4 16%
7 13.1%
$70,719 ปริมาณ
$70,719 ปริมาณ
May 17, 2026
≤3
1%
4
16%
5
25%
6
37%
7
13%
8
4%
9
2%
>9
2%
5 30%
6 22%
4 16%
7 13.1%
$70,719 ปริมาณ
$70,719 ปริมาณ
May 17, 2026
≤3
$38,397 ปริมาณ
1%
4
$4,633 ปริมาณ
16%
5
$4,908 ปริมาณ
25%
6
$656 ปริมาณ
37%
7
$804 ปริมาณ
13%
8
$3,096 ปริมาณ
4%
9
$3,265 ปริมาณ
2%
>9
$14,962 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between May 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Global seismic monitoring by the USGS indicates that Pacific Ring of Fire subduction zones have generated several magnitude 5.5+ events through mid-May, with a confirmed M6.0 near Nena, Philippines, and additional M5.5–5.7 shocks offshore Tonga and the Solomon Islands elevating the weekly tally. These plate-boundary interactions produce aftershock sequences and moderate daily counts of M5.0–5.9 events consistent with background rates yet clustered by recent strain release. Trader consensus favors six total quakes at 34 percent because ongoing offshore detections could add one or two more before the May 17 close, while the narrow spread among five, six, and seven outcomes reflects uncertainty over whether aftershocks will push the final count higher or stabilize near the current pace.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between May 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 9, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$70,719วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 9, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between May 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Global seismic monitoring by the USGS indicates that Pacific Ring of Fire subduction zones have generated several magnitude 5.5+ events through mid-May, with a confirmed M6.0 near Nena, Philippines, and additional M5.5–5.7 shocks offshore Tonga and the Solomon Islands elevating the weekly tally. These plate-boundary interactions produce aftershock sequences and moderate daily counts of M5.0–5.9 events consistent with background rates yet clustered by recent strain release. Trader consensus favors six total quakes at 34 percent because ongoing offshore detections could add one or two more before the May 17 close, while the narrow spread among five, six, and seven outcomes reflects uncertainty over whether aftershocks will push the final count higher or stabilize near the current pace.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between May 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$70,719วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 9, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Global seismic monitoring by the USGS indicates that Pacific Ring of Fire subduction zones have generated several magnitude 5.5+ events through mid-May, with a confirmed M6.0 near Nena, Philippines, and additional M5.5–5.7 shocks offshore Tonga and the Solomon Islands elevating the weekly tally. These plate-boundary interactions produce aftershock sequences and moderate daily counts of M5.0–5.9 events consistent with background rates yet clustered by recent strain release. Trader consensus favors six total quakes at 34 percent because ongoing offshore detections could add one or two more before the May 17 close, while the narrow spread among five, six, and seven outcomes reflects uncertainty over whether aftershocks will push the final count higher or stabilize near the current pace.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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