Trader sentiment on London May precipitation reveals tight uncertainty, with 10-15mm leading at 40.8% market-implied probability ahead of 30mm+ at 34.0%, stemming from low early-month accumulation amid drier-than-average conditions in southern England after April's below-normal rainfall totals. Met Office seasonal outlooks note a shift from winter wetness, with high-pressure systems nearby favoring dry persistence, yet ensemble model spreads highlight risks of Atlantic lows and frontal systems delivering heavier rain later. Differentiating factors include jet stream positioning—northerly shifts diverting precipitation northward—and neutral North Atlantic Oscillation influences amplifying variability around the 50mm climatological average; upcoming weekly forecasts and model runs could tip the balance.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วPrecipitation in London in May?
Precipitation in London in May?
30mm+ 54%
10-15mm 41.0%
20-25mm 31%
5-10mm 14.6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 31, 2026
<5mm
2%
5-10mm
15%
10-15mm
41%
15-20mm
24%
20-25mm
24%
25-30mm
24%
30mm+
54%
30mm+ 54%
10-15mm 41.0%
20-25mm 31%
5-10mm 14.6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 31, 2026
<5mm
$201 ปริมาณ
2%
5-10mm
$273 ปริมาณ
15%
10-15mm
$95 ปริมาณ
41%
15-20mm
$31 ปริมาณ
24%
20-25mm
$1,045 ปริมาณ
24%
25-30mm
$40 ปริมาณ
24%
30mm+
$123 ปริมาณ
54%
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in May, 2026, according to the Met Office.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for May 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of May 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment on London May precipitation reveals tight uncertainty, with 10-15mm leading at 40.8% market-implied probability ahead of 30mm+ at 34.0%, stemming from low early-month accumulation amid drier-than-average conditions in southern England after April's below-normal rainfall totals. Met Office seasonal outlooks note a shift from winter wetness, with high-pressure systems nearby favoring dry persistence, yet ensemble model spreads highlight risks of Atlantic lows and frontal systems delivering heavier rain later. Differentiating factors include jet stream positioning—northerly shifts diverting precipitation northward—and neutral North Atlantic Oscillation influences amplifying variability around the 50mm climatological average; upcoming weekly forecasts and model runs could tip the balance.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in May, 2026, according to the Met Office.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for May 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of May 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for May 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of May 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 28, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,808วันสิ้นสุด
May 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 28, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in May, 2026, according to the Met Office.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for May 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of May 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment on London May precipitation reveals tight uncertainty, with 10-15mm leading at 40.8% market-implied probability ahead of 30mm+ at 34.0%, stemming from low early-month accumulation amid drier-than-average conditions in southern England after April's below-normal rainfall totals. Met Office seasonal outlooks note a shift from winter wetness, with high-pressure systems nearby favoring dry persistence, yet ensemble model spreads highlight risks of Atlantic lows and frontal systems delivering heavier rain later. Differentiating factors include jet stream positioning—northerly shifts diverting precipitation northward—and neutral North Atlantic Oscillation influences amplifying variability around the 50mm climatological average; upcoming weekly forecasts and model runs could tip the balance.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in May, 2026, according to the Met Office.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for May 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of May 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for May 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of May 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,808วันสิ้นสุด
May 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 28, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on London May precipitation reveals tight uncertainty, with 10-15mm leading at 40.8% market-implied probability ahead of 30mm+ at 34.0%, stemming from low early-month accumulation amid drier-than-average conditions in southern England after April's below-normal rainfall totals. Met Office seasonal outlooks note a shift from winter wetness, with high-pressure systems nearby favoring dry persistence, yet ensemble model spreads highlight risks of Atlantic lows and frontal systems delivering heavier rain later. Differentiating factors include jet stream positioning—northerly shifts diverting precipitation northward—and neutral North Atlantic Oscillation influences amplifying variability around the 50mm climatological average; upcoming weekly forecasts and model runs could tip the balance.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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