Hong Kong Observatory observations as of mid-afternoon on May 13 confirm a maximum air temperature of 30.9°C at the King’s Park station, with fine weather and high solar insolation under a subsiding trough of low pressure driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 31°C or higher. This positioning aligns with the seasonal forecast of normal to above-normal temperatures for May, following yesterday's record 31.6°C hottest day so far, and short-range model consensus projecting peaks near 32°C amid light winds and minimal cloud cover. Realistic challenges would require sudden showers or increased cloudiness to cap heating before evening, though current stability and climatological precedents for late-day peaks in May render this unlikely; final daily maximum data expected from HKO by midnight.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 13?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 13?
31°C or higher 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$345,270 ปริมาณ
$345,270 ปริมาณ
May 13, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
100%
31°C or higher 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$345,270 ปริมาณ
$345,270 ปริมาณ
May 13, 2026
21°C or below
$5,877 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$4,237 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$4,501 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$4,080 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$7,672 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$8,916 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$19,564 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$47,721 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$54,514 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$88,655 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C or higher
$99,566 ปริมาณ
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory observations as of mid-afternoon on May 13 confirm a maximum air temperature of 30.9°C at the King’s Park station, with fine weather and high solar insolation under a subsiding trough of low pressure driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 31°C or higher. This positioning aligns with the seasonal forecast of normal to above-normal temperatures for May, following yesterday's record 31.6°C hottest day so far, and short-range model consensus projecting peaks near 32°C amid light winds and minimal cloud cover. Realistic challenges would require sudden showers or increased cloudiness to cap heating before evening, though current stability and climatological precedents for late-day peaks in May render this unlikely; final daily maximum data expected from HKO by midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 11, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$345,270วันสิ้นสุด
May 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 11, 2026, 12:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory observations as of mid-afternoon on May 13 confirm a maximum air temperature of 30.9°C at the King’s Park station, with fine weather and high solar insolation under a subsiding trough of low pressure driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 31°C or higher. This positioning aligns with the seasonal forecast of normal to above-normal temperatures for May, following yesterday's record 31.6°C hottest day so far, and short-range model consensus projecting peaks near 32°C amid light winds and minimal cloud cover. Realistic challenges would require sudden showers or increased cloudiness to cap heating before evening, though current stability and climatological precedents for late-day peaks in May render this unlikely; final daily maximum data expected from HKO by midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$345,270วันสิ้นสุด
May 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 11, 2026, 12:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory observations as of mid-afternoon on May 13 confirm a maximum air temperature of 30.9°C at the King’s Park station, with fine weather and high solar insolation under a subsiding trough of low pressure driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 31°C or higher. This positioning aligns with the seasonal forecast of normal to above-normal temperatures for May, following yesterday's record 31.6°C hottest day so far, and short-range model consensus projecting peaks near 32°C amid light winds and minimal cloud cover. Realistic challenges would require sudden showers or increased cloudiness to cap heating before evening, though current stability and climatological precedents for late-day peaks in May render this unlikely; final daily maximum data expected from HKO by midnight.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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