Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high temperature of 17°C (36.5% implied probability) or 16°C (30.0%) in Madrid on May 15, driven by the latest AEMET forecast projecting a maximum of 16°C amid partly cloudy skies, northerly winds at 15 km/h, and low precipitation risk. This positioning reflects a persistent northerly airflow channeling cooler Atlantic air into central Spain, combined with diurnal cloud development that caps daytime heating—conditions persisting over the past week with recent showers further depressing temperatures below the May climatological average of around 23°C. Close odds between 16–18°C underscore model uncertainty in peak-hour insolation and exact cloud cover timing, with international ensembles like those from timeanddate suggesting up to 17°C; official observations from Madrid's Retiro station will resolve the market tomorrow.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Madrid on May 15?
Highest temperature in Madrid on May 15?
17°C 36%
16°C 31%
18°C 18%
15°C 10%
ใหม่
$13,095 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$13,095 ปริมาณ
May 15, 2026
13°C or below
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
10%
16°C
31%
17°C
36%
18°C
18%
19°C
7%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
1%
17°C 36%
16°C 31%
18°C 18%
15°C 10%
ใหม่
$13,095 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$13,095 ปริมาณ
May 15, 2026
13°C or below
$1,574 ปริมาณ
1%
14°C
$1,094 ปริมาณ
1%
15°C
$1,094 ปริมาณ
10%
16°C
$1,200 ปริมาณ
31%
17°C
$726 ปริมาณ
36%
18°C
$760 ปริมาณ
18%
19°C
$1,036 ปริมาณ
7%
20°C
$972 ปริมาณ
1%
21°C
$1,176 ปริมาณ
1%
22°C
$1,348 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C or higher
$2,127 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high temperature of 17°C (36.5% implied probability) or 16°C (30.0%) in Madrid on May 15, driven by the latest AEMET forecast projecting a maximum of 16°C amid partly cloudy skies, northerly winds at 15 km/h, and low precipitation risk. This positioning reflects a persistent northerly airflow channeling cooler Atlantic air into central Spain, combined with diurnal cloud development that caps daytime heating—conditions persisting over the past week with recent showers further depressing temperatures below the May climatological average of around 23°C. Close odds between 16–18°C underscore model uncertainty in peak-hour insolation and exact cloud cover timing, with international ensembles like those from timeanddate suggesting up to 17°C; official observations from Madrid's Retiro station will resolve the market tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 13, 2026, 12:41 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,095วันสิ้นสุด
May 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 13, 2026, 12:41 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high temperature of 17°C (36.5% implied probability) or 16°C (30.0%) in Madrid on May 15, driven by the latest AEMET forecast projecting a maximum of 16°C amid partly cloudy skies, northerly winds at 15 km/h, and low precipitation risk. This positioning reflects a persistent northerly airflow channeling cooler Atlantic air into central Spain, combined with diurnal cloud development that caps daytime heating—conditions persisting over the past week with recent showers further depressing temperatures below the May climatological average of around 23°C. Close odds between 16–18°C underscore model uncertainty in peak-hour insolation and exact cloud cover timing, with international ensembles like those from timeanddate suggesting up to 17°C; official observations from Madrid's Retiro station will resolve the market tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,095วันสิ้นสุด
May 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 13, 2026, 12:41 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high temperature of 17°C (36.5% implied probability) or 16°C (30.0%) in Madrid on May 15, driven by the latest AEMET forecast projecting a maximum of 16°C amid partly cloudy skies, northerly winds at 15 km/h, and low precipitation risk. This positioning reflects a persistent northerly airflow channeling cooler Atlantic air into central Spain, combined with diurnal cloud development that caps daytime heating—conditions persisting over the past week with recent showers further depressing temperatures below the May climatological average of around 23°C. Close odds between 16–18°C underscore model uncertainty in peak-hour insolation and exact cloud cover timing, with international ensembles like those from timeanddate suggesting up to 17°C; official observations from Madrid's Retiro station will resolve the market tomorrow.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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