Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) short-term forecasts and ensemble model guidance, pricing a highest temperature of 13°C (36.5%) or 12°C (35.5%) at Munich Airport station today amid persistent overcast conditions and intermittent drizzle from an influx of polar maritime air. This cool advection via northerly winds suppresses daytime heating below May climatological norms of around 17°C, following yesterday's midday peak of 14°C and overnight frost warnings. Key differentiators include potential afternoon cloud breaks allowing brief solar insolation for a 13°C nudge versus sustained low stratus capping at 12°C; 14°C or higher at 23.5% hinges on unexpected clearing. Monitor DWD hourly updates through late afternoon for resolution shifts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Munich on May 14?
Highest temperature in Munich on May 14?
13°C 37%
12°C 36%
14°C or higher 24%
11°C 7%
ใหม่
$28,771 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$28,771 ปริมาณ
May 14, 2026
9°C
<1%
10°C
2%
11°C
7%
12°C
36%
13°C
37%
14°C or higher
24%
13°C 37%
12°C 36%
14°C or higher 24%
11°C 7%
ใหม่
$28,771 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$28,771 ปริมาณ
May 14, 2026
9°C
$2,601 ปริมาณ
<1%
10°C
$2,894 ปริมาณ
2%
11°C
$3,307 ปริมาณ
7%
12°C
$4,064 ปริมาณ
36%
13°C
$3,630 ปริมาณ
37%
14°C or higher
$5,889 ปริมาณ
24%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) short-term forecasts and ensemble model guidance, pricing a highest temperature of 13°C (36.5%) or 12°C (35.5%) at Munich Airport station today amid persistent overcast conditions and intermittent drizzle from an influx of polar maritime air. This cool advection via northerly winds suppresses daytime heating below May climatological norms of around 17°C, following yesterday's midday peak of 14°C and overnight frost warnings. Key differentiators include potential afternoon cloud breaks allowing brief solar insolation for a 13°C nudge versus sustained low stratus capping at 12°C; 14°C or higher at 23.5% hinges on unexpected clearing. Monitor DWD hourly updates through late afternoon for resolution shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 12, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$28,771วันสิ้นสุด
May 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 12, 2026, 12:19 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) short-term forecasts and ensemble model guidance, pricing a highest temperature of 13°C (36.5%) or 12°C (35.5%) at Munich Airport station today amid persistent overcast conditions and intermittent drizzle from an influx of polar maritime air. This cool advection via northerly winds suppresses daytime heating below May climatological norms of around 17°C, following yesterday's midday peak of 14°C and overnight frost warnings. Key differentiators include potential afternoon cloud breaks allowing brief solar insolation for a 13°C nudge versus sustained low stratus capping at 12°C; 14°C or higher at 23.5% hinges on unexpected clearing. Monitor DWD hourly updates through late afternoon for resolution shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$28,771วันสิ้นสุด
May 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 12, 2026, 12:19 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) short-term forecasts and ensemble model guidance, pricing a highest temperature of 13°C (36.5%) or 12°C (35.5%) at Munich Airport station today amid persistent overcast conditions and intermittent drizzle from an influx of polar maritime air. This cool advection via northerly winds suppresses daytime heating below May climatological norms of around 17°C, following yesterday's midday peak of 14°C and overnight frost warnings. Key differentiators include potential afternoon cloud breaks allowing brief solar insolation for a 13°C nudge versus sustained low stratus capping at 12°C; 14°C or higher at 23.5% hinges on unexpected clearing. Monitor DWD hourly updates through late afternoon for resolution shifts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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