Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high temperature of 70-71°F in New York City today at 97.5%, reflecting strong alignment with the National Weather Service's latest guidance projecting a peak near 71°F at Central Park observatory. This positioning stems from recent model consensus across short-range forecasts like the NAM and HRRR, which show peak heating capped by persistent mid-level clouds, moderate south winds around 10 mph, and residual cool air from yesterday's frontal passage, consistent with the climatological normal of 71°F for May 13. Ensemble predictions exhibit tight clustering with minimal spread, underscoring high confidence amid stable boundary layer conditions. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing boosting insolation to push toward 72-73°F (2.3% implied odds) or isolated showers suppressing the high, though official updates through 4 PM EDT peak heating are unlikely to shift dramatically.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in NYC on May 13?
Highest temperature in NYC on May 13?
70-71°F 97.4%
72-73°F 2.6%
74°F or higher <1%
$144,609 ปริมาณ
$144,609 ปริมาณ
May 13, 2026
70-71°F
97%
72-73°F
3%
74°F or higher
<1%
70-71°F 97.4%
72-73°F 2.6%
74°F or higher <1%
$144,609 ปริมาณ
$144,609 ปริมาณ
May 13, 2026
70-71°F
$21,324 ปริมาณ
97%
72-73°F
$19,204 ปริมาณ
3%
74°F or higher
$18,768 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high temperature of 70-71°F in New York City today at 97.5%, reflecting strong alignment with the National Weather Service's latest guidance projecting a peak near 71°F at Central Park observatory. This positioning stems from recent model consensus across short-range forecasts like the NAM and HRRR, which show peak heating capped by persistent mid-level clouds, moderate south winds around 10 mph, and residual cool air from yesterday's frontal passage, consistent with the climatological normal of 71°F for May 13. Ensemble predictions exhibit tight clustering with minimal spread, underscoring high confidence amid stable boundary layer conditions. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing boosting insolation to push toward 72-73°F (2.3% implied odds) or isolated showers suppressing the high, though official updates through 4 PM EDT peak heating are unlikely to shift dramatically.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 11, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$144,609วันสิ้นสุด
May 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 11, 2026, 12:34 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high temperature of 70-71°F in New York City today at 97.5%, reflecting strong alignment with the National Weather Service's latest guidance projecting a peak near 71°F at Central Park observatory. This positioning stems from recent model consensus across short-range forecasts like the NAM and HRRR, which show peak heating capped by persistent mid-level clouds, moderate south winds around 10 mph, and residual cool air from yesterday's frontal passage, consistent with the climatological normal of 71°F for May 13. Ensemble predictions exhibit tight clustering with minimal spread, underscoring high confidence amid stable boundary layer conditions. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing boosting insolation to push toward 72-73°F (2.3% implied odds) or isolated showers suppressing the high, though official updates through 4 PM EDT peak heating are unlikely to shift dramatically.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$144,609วันสิ้นสุด
May 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 11, 2026, 12:34 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high temperature of 70-71°F in New York City today at 97.5%, reflecting strong alignment with the National Weather Service's latest guidance projecting a peak near 71°F at Central Park observatory. This positioning stems from recent model consensus across short-range forecasts like the NAM and HRRR, which show peak heating capped by persistent mid-level clouds, moderate south winds around 10 mph, and residual cool air from yesterday's frontal passage, consistent with the climatological normal of 71°F for May 13. Ensemble predictions exhibit tight clustering with minimal spread, underscoring high confidence amid stable boundary layer conditions. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing boosting insolation to push toward 72-73°F (2.3% implied odds) or isolated showers suppressing the high, though official updates through 4 PM EDT peak heating are unlikely to shift dramatically.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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