Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) at Esenboğa International Airport confirm Ankara's highest temperature on May 13 reached exactly 22°C, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome as the trading day nears resolution. This aligns with mid-May climatology, where average highs hover around 20-21°C amid typical spring conditions of moderate southerly winds and partial cloud cover that capped daytime heating after overnight lows near 12°C. Forecast models from NOAA and ECMWF had projected peaks in the 21-23°C range, with no significant warm air advection. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control checks or unverified station anomalies, though such events occur in under 1% of daily reports historically. Final MGM validation expected within 24 hours.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Ankara on May 13?
Highest temperature in Ankara on May 13?
22°C 100.0%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
25°C or higher <1%
$71,946 ปริมาณ
$71,946 ปริมาณ
May 13, 2026
22°C
100%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
22°C 100.0%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
25°C or higher <1%
$71,946 ปริมาณ
$71,946 ปริมาณ
May 13, 2026
22°C
$14,786 ปริมาณ
100%
23°C
$11,867 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$10,212 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C or higher
$10,116 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) at Esenboğa International Airport confirm Ankara's highest temperature on May 13 reached exactly 22°C, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome as the trading day nears resolution. This aligns with mid-May climatology, where average highs hover around 20-21°C amid typical spring conditions of moderate southerly winds and partial cloud cover that capped daytime heating after overnight lows near 12°C. Forecast models from NOAA and ECMWF had projected peaks in the 21-23°C range, with no significant warm air advection. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control checks or unverified station anomalies, though such events occur in under 1% of daily reports historically. Final MGM validation expected within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 11, 2026, 1:14 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$71,946วันสิ้นสุด
May 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 11, 2026, 1:14 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) at Esenboğa International Airport confirm Ankara's highest temperature on May 13 reached exactly 22°C, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome as the trading day nears resolution. This aligns with mid-May climatology, where average highs hover around 20-21°C amid typical spring conditions of moderate southerly winds and partial cloud cover that capped daytime heating after overnight lows near 12°C. Forecast models from NOAA and ECMWF had projected peaks in the 21-23°C range, with no significant warm air advection. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control checks or unverified station anomalies, though such events occur in under 1% of daily reports historically. Final MGM validation expected within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$71,946วันสิ้นสุด
May 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 11, 2026, 1:14 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) at Esenboğa International Airport confirm Ankara's highest temperature on May 13 reached exactly 22°C, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome as the trading day nears resolution. This aligns with mid-May climatology, where average highs hover around 20-21°C amid typical spring conditions of moderate southerly winds and partial cloud cover that capped daytime heating after overnight lows near 12°C. Forecast models from NOAA and ECMWF had projected peaks in the 21-23°C range, with no significant warm air advection. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control checks or unverified station anomalies, though such events occur in under 1% of daily reports historically. Final MGM validation expected within 24 hours.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย