Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 17°C as the highest temperature in Ankara on May 15 at 100% implied probability, driven by official observations and forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM), which report a midday peak of 17°C under persistent cloud cover and morning showers that limited solar heating. Hourly data from Esenboğa Airport METARs and local stations confirm temperatures stabilizing below 18°C amid cool northerly winds and high humidity, aligning with model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs showing suppressed daytime highs. This marks a departure from mid-May climatology, where averages hover around 22°C. Realistic challenges include late-afternoon clearing allowing brief solar insolation to nudge readings to 18°C, though diminishing daylight and ongoing overcast conditions make this improbable; final MGM daily summary expected soon will resolve the market.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Ankara on May 15?
Highest temperature in Ankara on May 15?
17°C 100.0%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$52,759 ปริมาณ
$52,759 ปริมาณ
May 15, 2026
17°C
100%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
17°C 100.0%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$52,759 ปริมาณ
$52,759 ปริมาณ
May 15, 2026
17°C
$8,288 ปริมาณ
100%
18°C
$6,439 ปริมาณ
<1%
19°C
$4,268 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$4,551 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C or higher
$6,715 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 17°C as the highest temperature in Ankara on May 15 at 100% implied probability, driven by official observations and forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM), which report a midday peak of 17°C under persistent cloud cover and morning showers that limited solar heating. Hourly data from Esenboğa Airport METARs and local stations confirm temperatures stabilizing below 18°C amid cool northerly winds and high humidity, aligning with model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs showing suppressed daytime highs. This marks a departure from mid-May climatology, where averages hover around 22°C. Realistic challenges include late-afternoon clearing allowing brief solar insolation to nudge readings to 18°C, though diminishing daylight and ongoing overcast conditions make this improbable; final MGM daily summary expected soon will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$52,759วันสิ้นสุด
May 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 17°C as the highest temperature in Ankara on May 15 at 100% implied probability, driven by official observations and forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM), which report a midday peak of 17°C under persistent cloud cover and morning showers that limited solar heating. Hourly data from Esenboğa Airport METARs and local stations confirm temperatures stabilizing below 18°C amid cool northerly winds and high humidity, aligning with model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs showing suppressed daytime highs. This marks a departure from mid-May climatology, where averages hover around 22°C. Realistic challenges include late-afternoon clearing allowing brief solar insolation to nudge readings to 18°C, though diminishing daylight and ongoing overcast conditions make this improbable; final MGM daily summary expected soon will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$52,759วันสิ้นสุด
May 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 17°C as the highest temperature in Ankara on May 15 at 100% implied probability, driven by official observations and forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM), which report a midday peak of 17°C under persistent cloud cover and morning showers that limited solar heating. Hourly data from Esenboğa Airport METARs and local stations confirm temperatures stabilizing below 18°C amid cool northerly winds and high humidity, aligning with model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs showing suppressed daytime highs. This marks a departure from mid-May climatology, where averages hover around 22°C. Realistic challenges include late-afternoon clearing allowing brief solar insolation to nudge readings to 18°C, though diminishing daylight and ongoing overcast conditions make this improbable; final MGM daily summary expected soon will resolve the market.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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