Met Office forecasts for London, including Heathrow and central stations, project a maximum temperature of 14°C today, May 15, amid persistent cloudy skies, cool westerly-northwesterly winds gusting to 20mph, and minimal sunshine, driving the market's 96.4% implied probability on this outcome as trader consensus aligns with real-time observational data showing 13°C around 2pm and hourly projections holding steady before evening cooldowns to 5–7°C lows. This positioning reflects current atmospheric conditions from a nearby low-pressure system suppressing typical May highs near 18°C, with high humidity (up to 61%) and low UV further limiting warming. Realistic challenges include unexpected cloud breaks allowing a brief surge to 15°C, though model consensus and late-day timing make this improbable; final readings from the resolution site, London City Airport, expected by sunset around 8:47pm.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in London on May 15?
Highest temperature in London on May 15?
15°C 6.5%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
13°C <1%
$206,481 ปริมาณ
$206,481 ปริมาณ
May 15, 2026
13°C
<1%
14°C
65%
15°C
7%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
15°C 6.5%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
13°C <1%
$206,481 ปริมาณ
$206,481 ปริมาณ
May 15, 2026
13°C
$24,179 ปริมาณ
<1%
14°C
$15,843 ปริมาณ
65%
15°C
$27,890 ปริมาณ
7%
16°C
$18,006 ปริมาณ
1%
17°C
$10,001 ปริมาณ
<1%
18°C or higher
$18,156 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Met Office forecasts for London, including Heathrow and central stations, project a maximum temperature of 14°C today, May 15, amid persistent cloudy skies, cool westerly-northwesterly winds gusting to 20mph, and minimal sunshine, driving the market's 96.4% implied probability on this outcome as trader consensus aligns with real-time observational data showing 13°C around 2pm and hourly projections holding steady before evening cooldowns to 5–7°C lows. This positioning reflects current atmospheric conditions from a nearby low-pressure system suppressing typical May highs near 18°C, with high humidity (up to 61%) and low UV further limiting warming. Realistic challenges include unexpected cloud breaks allowing a brief surge to 15°C, though model consensus and late-day timing make this improbable; final readings from the resolution site, London City Airport, expected by sunset around 8:47pm.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$206,481วันสิ้นสุด
May 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Met Office forecasts for London, including Heathrow and central stations, project a maximum temperature of 14°C today, May 15, amid persistent cloudy skies, cool westerly-northwesterly winds gusting to 20mph, and minimal sunshine, driving the market's 96.4% implied probability on this outcome as trader consensus aligns with real-time observational data showing 13°C around 2pm and hourly projections holding steady before evening cooldowns to 5–7°C lows. This positioning reflects current atmospheric conditions from a nearby low-pressure system suppressing typical May highs near 18°C, with high humidity (up to 61%) and low UV further limiting warming. Realistic challenges include unexpected cloud breaks allowing a brief surge to 15°C, though model consensus and late-day timing make this improbable; final readings from the resolution site, London City Airport, expected by sunset around 8:47pm.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$206,481วันสิ้นสุด
May 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Met Office forecasts for London, including Heathrow and central stations, project a maximum temperature of 14°C today, May 15, amid persistent cloudy skies, cool westerly-northwesterly winds gusting to 20mph, and minimal sunshine, driving the market's 96.4% implied probability on this outcome as trader consensus aligns with real-time observational data showing 13°C around 2pm and hourly projections holding steady before evening cooldowns to 5–7°C lows. This positioning reflects current atmospheric conditions from a nearby low-pressure system suppressing typical May highs near 18°C, with high humidity (up to 61%) and low UV further limiting warming. Realistic challenges include unexpected cloud breaks allowing a brief surge to 15°C, though model consensus and late-day timing make this improbable; final readings from the resolution site, London City Airport, expected by sunset around 8:47pm.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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