Current National Weather Service and numerical model guidance for central Texas points to a high near 86°F on May 17 under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow, consistent with mid-May climatology where Austin’s average daily maximum reaches 85–87°F. No significant cold fronts, moisture surges, or cloud cover are expected to suppress temperatures, keeping the risk of readings below 84°F minimal. Trader consensus, reflected in the 87% combined probability on 86°F or higher, aligns with this stable warm-sector setup and the absence of model disagreement in recent runs.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Austin on May 17?
Highest temperature in Austin on May 17?
88°F or higher 56%
86-87°F 31%
84-85°F 9.0%
82-83°F 1.6%
ใหม่
$14,847 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$14,847 ปริมาณ
May 17, 2026
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
9%
86-87°F
31%
88°F or higher
56%
88°F or higher 56%
86-87°F 31%
84-85°F 9.0%
82-83°F 1.6%
ใหม่
$14,847 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$14,847 ปริมาณ
May 17, 2026
69°F or below
$1,206 ปริมาณ
<1%
70-71°F
$3,464 ปริมาณ
<1%
72-73°F
$4,894 ปริมาณ
<1%
74-75°F
$536 ปริมาณ
<1%
76-77°F
$537 ปริมาณ
<1%
78-79°F
$385 ปริมาณ
<1%
80-81°F
$660 ปริมาณ
1%
82-83°F
$759 ปริมาณ
2%
84-85°F
$398 ปริมาณ
9%
86-87°F
$533 ปริมาณ
31%
88°F or higher
$1,482 ปริมาณ
56%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current National Weather Service and numerical model guidance for central Texas points to a high near 86°F on May 17 under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow, consistent with mid-May climatology where Austin’s average daily maximum reaches 85–87°F. No significant cold fronts, moisture surges, or cloud cover are expected to suppress temperatures, keeping the risk of readings below 84°F minimal. Trader consensus, reflected in the 87% combined probability on 86°F or higher, aligns with this stable warm-sector setup and the absence of model disagreement in recent runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$14,847วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current National Weather Service and numerical model guidance for central Texas points to a high near 86°F on May 17 under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow, consistent with mid-May climatology where Austin’s average daily maximum reaches 85–87°F. No significant cold fronts, moisture surges, or cloud cover are expected to suppress temperatures, keeping the risk of readings below 84°F minimal. Trader consensus, reflected in the 87% combined probability on 86°F or higher, aligns with this stable warm-sector setup and the absence of model disagreement in recent runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$14,847วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSCurrent National Weather Service and numerical model guidance for central Texas points to a high near 86°F on May 17 under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow, consistent with mid-May climatology where Austin’s average daily maximum reaches 85–87°F. No significant cold fronts, moisture surges, or cloud cover are expected to suppress temperatures, keeping the risk of readings below 84°F minimal. Trader consensus, reflected in the 87% combined probability on 86°F or higher, aligns with this stable warm-sector setup and the absence of model disagreement in recent runs.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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