The Japan Meteorological Agency's latest forecast consensus pins Tokyo's overnight low on May 16 at 17°C, driving overwhelming trader confidence at 99.8% implied probability for that outcome. Stable high pressure and mostly clear skies are promoting efficient radiative cooling under light winds, with ensemble runs converging tightly on this value near the mid-May climatological average of 15–16°C. Current early-morning observations and neutral ENSO conditions further reinforce the projection. A realistic challenge could arise if unexpected cloud cover or a stronger southerly breeze develops overnight, potentially holding the low at 16°C or nudging it to 18°C within the typical 1–2°C forecast uncertainty range for the region. Final Tokyo station data will resolve the market.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Tokyo on May 16?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on May 16?
17°C 99.7%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
16°C <1%
$67,506 ปริมาณ
$67,506 ปริมาณ
May 16, 2026
13°C or below
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
100%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
17°C 99.7%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
16°C <1%
$67,506 ปริมาณ
$67,506 ปริมาณ
May 16, 2026
13°C or below
$5,162 ปริมาณ
1%
14°C
$9,327 ปริมาณ
1%
15°C
$8,019 ปริมาณ
<1%
16°C
$3,392 ปริมาณ
<1%
17°C
$4,649 ปริมาณ
100%
18°C
$2,787 ปริมาณ
<1%
19°C
$12,509 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$13,438 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$523 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$779 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C or higher
$6,921 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Japan Meteorological Agency's latest forecast consensus pins Tokyo's overnight low on May 16 at 17°C, driving overwhelming trader confidence at 99.8% implied probability for that outcome. Stable high pressure and mostly clear skies are promoting efficient radiative cooling under light winds, with ensemble runs converging tightly on this value near the mid-May climatological average of 15–16°C. Current early-morning observations and neutral ENSO conditions further reinforce the projection. A realistic challenge could arise if unexpected cloud cover or a stronger southerly breeze develops overnight, potentially holding the low at 16°C or nudging it to 18°C within the typical 1–2°C forecast uncertainty range for the region. Final Tokyo station data will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$67,506วันสิ้นสุด
May 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Japan Meteorological Agency's latest forecast consensus pins Tokyo's overnight low on May 16 at 17°C, driving overwhelming trader confidence at 99.8% implied probability for that outcome. Stable high pressure and mostly clear skies are promoting efficient radiative cooling under light winds, with ensemble runs converging tightly on this value near the mid-May climatological average of 15–16°C. Current early-morning observations and neutral ENSO conditions further reinforce the projection. A realistic challenge could arise if unexpected cloud cover or a stronger southerly breeze develops overnight, potentially holding the low at 16°C or nudging it to 18°C within the typical 1–2°C forecast uncertainty range for the region. Final Tokyo station data will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$67,506วันสิ้นสุด
May 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTThe Japan Meteorological Agency's latest forecast consensus pins Tokyo's overnight low on May 16 at 17°C, driving overwhelming trader confidence at 99.8% implied probability for that outcome. Stable high pressure and mostly clear skies are promoting efficient radiative cooling under light winds, with ensemble runs converging tightly on this value near the mid-May climatological average of 15–16°C. Current early-morning observations and neutral ENSO conditions further reinforce the projection. A realistic challenge could arise if unexpected cloud cover or a stronger southerly breeze develops overnight, potentially holding the low at 16°C or nudging it to 18°C within the typical 1–2°C forecast uncertainty range for the region. Final Tokyo station data will resolve the market.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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