Current forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration project a daily high of 26°C in Shenzhen today, with widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderating humidity from an advancing low-pressure system suppressing peak heating. This setup aligns with recent cooling trends after mid-May peaks near 31°C, placing the outcome well below the seasonal average high of 29–31°C observed in long-term climatological records. Official model consensus shows minimal upside risk from localized clear-sky breaks, keeping the probability of 27°C or higher below 1% in real-time trader positioning. The market will resolve at noon local time using certified station data, with any unexpected clearing or delayed frontal passage the only realistic scenarios that could shift the recorded maximum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Shenzhen on May 16?
26°C 100.0%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$63,849 ปริมาณ
$63,849 ปริมาณ
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
26°C 100.0%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$63,849 ปริมาณ
$63,849 ปริมาณ
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 14, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: Yes
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: Yes
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: Yes
Current forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration project a daily high of 26°C in Shenzhen today, with widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderating humidity from an advancing low-pressure system suppressing peak heating. This setup aligns with recent cooling trends after mid-May peaks near 31°C, placing the outcome well below the seasonal average high of 29–31°C observed in long-term climatological records. Official model consensus shows minimal upside risk from localized clear-sky breaks, keeping the probability of 27°C or higher below 1% in real-time trader positioning. The market will resolve at noon local time using certified station data, with any unexpected clearing or delayed frontal passage the only realistic scenarios that could shift the recorded maximum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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