Latest China Meteorological Administration and AccuWeather forecasts project Chengdu's May 16 high temperature clustering around 29–30°C at Shuangliu International Airport, the market's resolution source, reflecting a rebound from May 15's cooler 25°C peak amid persistent clouds and showers. Trader sentiment favors 29°C (27.5% implied probability) slightly over 30°C (21.5%) and 28°C (18.5%) due to model consensus on moderate diurnal heating under a weakening high-pressure ridge over the Sichuan Basin, tempered by 50–55% afternoon shower risk and lingering low-level humidity that could suppress peaks by 1–2°C. Light easterly winds and urban heat effects add marginal upside potential to 31°C or higher (12.5%), with new hourly observations expected to sharpen clarity by evening.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chengdu on May 16?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on May 16?
29°C 28%
30°C 20%
28°C 19%
31°C or higher 15%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 16, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
7%
27°C
12%
28°C
19%
29°C
28%
30°C
20%
31°C or higher
15%
29°C 28%
30°C 20%
28°C 19%
31°C or higher 15%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 16, 2026
21°C or below
$974 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$597 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$621 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$1,121 ปริมาณ
1%
25°C
$695 ปริมาณ
3%
26°C
$903 ปริมาณ
7%
27°C
$1,144 ปริมาณ
12%
28°C
$1,009 ปริมาณ
19%
29°C
$655 ปริมาณ
28%
30°C
$870 ปริมาณ
20%
31°C or higher
$1,119 ปริมาณ
15%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest China Meteorological Administration and AccuWeather forecasts project Chengdu's May 16 high temperature clustering around 29–30°C at Shuangliu International Airport, the market's resolution source, reflecting a rebound from May 15's cooler 25°C peak amid persistent clouds and showers. Trader sentiment favors 29°C (27.5% implied probability) slightly over 30°C (21.5%) and 28°C (18.5%) due to model consensus on moderate diurnal heating under a weakening high-pressure ridge over the Sichuan Basin, tempered by 50–55% afternoon shower risk and lingering low-level humidity that could suppress peaks by 1–2°C. Light easterly winds and urban heat effects add marginal upside potential to 31°C or higher (12.5%), with new hourly observations expected to sharpen clarity by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 14, 2026, 12:42 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,708วันสิ้นสุด
May 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 14, 2026, 12:42 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest China Meteorological Administration and AccuWeather forecasts project Chengdu's May 16 high temperature clustering around 29–30°C at Shuangliu International Airport, the market's resolution source, reflecting a rebound from May 15's cooler 25°C peak amid persistent clouds and showers. Trader sentiment favors 29°C (27.5% implied probability) slightly over 30°C (21.5%) and 28°C (18.5%) due to model consensus on moderate diurnal heating under a weakening high-pressure ridge over the Sichuan Basin, tempered by 50–55% afternoon shower risk and lingering low-level humidity that could suppress peaks by 1–2°C. Light easterly winds and urban heat effects add marginal upside potential to 31°C or higher (12.5%), with new hourly observations expected to sharpen clarity by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,708วันสิ้นสุด
May 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 14, 2026, 12:42 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest China Meteorological Administration and AccuWeather forecasts project Chengdu's May 16 high temperature clustering around 29–30°C at Shuangliu International Airport, the market's resolution source, reflecting a rebound from May 15's cooler 25°C peak amid persistent clouds and showers. Trader sentiment favors 29°C (27.5% implied probability) slightly over 30°C (21.5%) and 28°C (18.5%) due to model consensus on moderate diurnal heating under a weakening high-pressure ridge over the Sichuan Basin, tempered by 50–55% afternoon shower risk and lingering low-level humidity that could suppress peaks by 1–2°C. Light easterly winds and urban heat effects add marginal upside potential to 31°C or higher (12.5%), with new hourly observations expected to sharpen clarity by evening.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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