Recent forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System converge on a daytime maximum near 21–22°C for Milan on May 16, under partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow. This positioning explains the market’s 40.5% implied probability on 21°C and 23.5% on 22°C, as traders weigh modest diurnal heating against scattered shower risk that could cap the peak. Mid-May climatological averages for the Lombardy plain sit around 22°C, providing a baseline that reinforces these outcomes over cooler or warmer extremes. With the resolution window closing this evening, any late-afternoon clearing or additional cloud build-up remains the key variable that could shift final observations from official stations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Milan on May 16?
Highest temperature in Milan on May 16?
21°C 41%
20°C 22%
22°C 21%
19°C 15%
ใหม่
$12,449 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$12,449 ปริมาณ
May 16, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
15%
20°C
22%
21°C
41%
22°C
21%
23°C
3%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
21°C 41%
20°C 22%
22°C 21%
19°C 15%
ใหม่
$12,449 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$12,449 ปริมาณ
May 16, 2026
15°C or below
$787 ปริมาณ
<1%
16°C
$681 ปริมาณ
<1%
17°C
$902 ปริมาณ
<1%
18°C
$1,124 ปริมาณ
1%
19°C
$2,044 ปริมาณ
15%
20°C
$1,529 ปริมาณ
22%
21°C
$1,321 ปริมาณ
41%
22°C
$1,105 ปริมาณ
21%
23°C
$1,430 ปริมาณ
3%
24°C
$752 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C or higher
$778 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System converge on a daytime maximum near 21–22°C for Milan on May 16, under partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow. This positioning explains the market’s 40.5% implied probability on 21°C and 23.5% on 22°C, as traders weigh modest diurnal heating against scattered shower risk that could cap the peak. Mid-May climatological averages for the Lombardy plain sit around 22°C, providing a baseline that reinforces these outcomes over cooler or warmer extremes. With the resolution window closing this evening, any late-afternoon clearing or additional cloud build-up remains the key variable that could shift final observations from official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 14, 2026, 12:39 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,449วันสิ้นสุด
May 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 14, 2026, 12:39 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System converge on a daytime maximum near 21–22°C for Milan on May 16, under partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow. This positioning explains the market’s 40.5% implied probability on 21°C and 23.5% on 22°C, as traders weigh modest diurnal heating against scattered shower risk that could cap the peak. Mid-May climatological averages for the Lombardy plain sit around 22°C, providing a baseline that reinforces these outcomes over cooler or warmer extremes. With the resolution window closing this evening, any late-afternoon clearing or additional cloud build-up remains the key variable that could shift final observations from official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,449วันสิ้นสุด
May 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 14, 2026, 12:39 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System converge on a daytime maximum near 21–22°C for Milan on May 16, under partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow. This positioning explains the market’s 40.5% implied probability on 21°C and 23.5% on 22°C, as traders weigh modest diurnal heating against scattered shower risk that could cap the peak. Mid-May climatological averages for the Lombardy plain sit around 22°C, providing a baseline that reinforces these outcomes over cooler or warmer extremes. With the resolution window closing this evening, any late-afternoon clearing or additional cloud build-up remains the key variable that could shift final observations from official stations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย