Latest short-range forecasts from the German Weather Service (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble models project Munich's highest temperature on May 15 at around 13°C, driving trader consensus with 33.5% implied probability for that exact outcome and over 75% market odds clustered at 12-14°C amid persistent cloud cover (80-100% forecasted) and cool northerly winds ushering in a maritime air mass. Updated model runs over the past 24 hours, incorporating May 14 observations of overcast conditions and light showers, have shifted probabilities cooler from prior runs showing slight potential for 15°C. Key variables include afternoon cloud breaks—favoring 14-15°C if sunshine emerges—or steady rain lowering maxima to 11-12°C, with lower odds for extremes reflecting climatological rarity in mid-May (historical average high ~18°C). DWD's Munich station readings will resolve the market, with final guidance expected evening.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Munich on May 15?
Highest temperature in Munich on May 15?
13°C 36%
14°C 23%
12°C 18%
15°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 15, 2026
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
2%
11°C
4%
12°C
18%
13°C
36%
14°C
23%
15°C
11%
16°C
2%
17°C or higher
1%
13°C 36%
14°C 23%
12°C 18%
15°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 15, 2026
7°C or below
$656 ปริมาณ
<1%
8°C
$543 ปริมาณ
<1%
9°C
$264 ปริมาณ
1%
10°C
$235 ปริมาณ
2%
11°C
$635 ปริมาณ
4%
12°C
$1,319 ปริมาณ
18%
13°C
$786 ปริมาณ
36%
14°C
$1,556 ปริมาณ
23%
15°C
$1,350 ปริมาณ
11%
16°C
$1,574 ปริมาณ
2%
17°C or higher
$779 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest short-range forecasts from the German Weather Service (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble models project Munich's highest temperature on May 15 at around 13°C, driving trader consensus with 33.5% implied probability for that exact outcome and over 75% market odds clustered at 12-14°C amid persistent cloud cover (80-100% forecasted) and cool northerly winds ushering in a maritime air mass. Updated model runs over the past 24 hours, incorporating May 14 observations of overcast conditions and light showers, have shifted probabilities cooler from prior runs showing slight potential for 15°C. Key variables include afternoon cloud breaks—favoring 14-15°C if sunshine emerges—or steady rain lowering maxima to 11-12°C, with lower odds for extremes reflecting climatological rarity in mid-May (historical average high ~18°C). DWD's Munich station readings will resolve the market, with final guidance expected evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,697วันสิ้นสุด
May 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest short-range forecasts from the German Weather Service (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble models project Munich's highest temperature on May 15 at around 13°C, driving trader consensus with 33.5% implied probability for that exact outcome and over 75% market odds clustered at 12-14°C amid persistent cloud cover (80-100% forecasted) and cool northerly winds ushering in a maritime air mass. Updated model runs over the past 24 hours, incorporating May 14 observations of overcast conditions and light showers, have shifted probabilities cooler from prior runs showing slight potential for 15°C. Key variables include afternoon cloud breaks—favoring 14-15°C if sunshine emerges—or steady rain lowering maxima to 11-12°C, with lower odds for extremes reflecting climatological rarity in mid-May (historical average high ~18°C). DWD's Munich station readings will resolve the market, with final guidance expected evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,697วันสิ้นสุด
May 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest short-range forecasts from the German Weather Service (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble models project Munich's highest temperature on May 15 at around 13°C, driving trader consensus with 33.5% implied probability for that exact outcome and over 75% market odds clustered at 12-14°C amid persistent cloud cover (80-100% forecasted) and cool northerly winds ushering in a maritime air mass. Updated model runs over the past 24 hours, incorporating May 14 observations of overcast conditions and light showers, have shifted probabilities cooler from prior runs showing slight potential for 15°C. Key variables include afternoon cloud breaks—favoring 14-15°C if sunshine emerges—or steady rain lowering maxima to 11-12°C, with lower odds for extremes reflecting climatological rarity in mid-May (historical average high ~18°C). DWD's Munich station readings will resolve the market, with final guidance expected evening.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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