Current meteorological forecasts from the India Meteorological Department indicate subdued maximum temperatures in Lucknow on May 16, with model consensus pointing to values at or below 41°C due to lingering cloud cover and moderate westerly winds limiting daytime heating. This positioning aligns with historical May climatology for the region, where pre-monsoon conditions typically produce peaks near 40°C absent strong heatwave setups, and recent observational data from nearby stations show no rapid intensification signals. Traders assign negligible probability to 42°C or higher because ensemble runs from global models show limited deviation potential over the next 24 hours. An unexpected clearing of skies combined with stronger subsidence could push readings higher, though such shifts would require rapid changes in the steering flow not currently indicated.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Lucknow on May 16?
41°C or below 100.0%
42°C <1%
43°C <1%
44°C <1%
$26,693 ปริมาณ
$26,693 ปริมาณ
41°C or below
100%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C
<1%
46°C
<1%
47°C
<1%
48°C
<1%
49°C
<1%
50°C
<1%
51°C or higher
<1%
41°C or below 100.0%
42°C <1%
43°C <1%
44°C <1%
$26,693 ปริมาณ
$26,693 ปริมาณ
41°C or below
100%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C
<1%
46°C
<1%
47°C
<1%
48°C
<1%
49°C
<1%
50°C
<1%
51°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 14, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: Yes
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: Yes
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: Yes
Current meteorological forecasts from the India Meteorological Department indicate subdued maximum temperatures in Lucknow on May 16, with model consensus pointing to values at or below 41°C due to lingering cloud cover and moderate westerly winds limiting daytime heating. This positioning aligns with historical May climatology for the region, where pre-monsoon conditions typically produce peaks near 40°C absent strong heatwave setups, and recent observational data from nearby stations show no rapid intensification signals. Traders assign negligible probability to 42°C or higher because ensemble runs from global models show limited deviation potential over the next 24 hours. An unexpected clearing of skies combined with stronger subsidence could push readings higher, though such shifts would require rapid changes in the steering flow not currently indicated.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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