Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts place Lucknow’s maximum temperature near 42–43 °C on May 17 under typical pre-monsoon conditions in the Ganges Plain, where seasonal averages reach 40–42 °C. Persistent cloud cover and light winds observed in the latest model runs have suppressed surface heating, shifting trader consensus toward the 41 °C or below outcome at 80.5 % implied probability. Clear skies would allow stronger solar insolation and push readings into the low 40s, yet current satellite data show sufficient moisture to limit intensification. Historical IMD records confirm that mid-May highs rarely exceed 43 °C without an active heat dome, keeping higher brackets below 4 % combined. Official observation at 0830 IST on May 18 will resolve the market against these verified thresholds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Lucknow on May 17?
41°C or below 81%
42°C 16%
43°C 2.6%
44°C 1.4%
41°C or below
81%
42°C
16%
43°C
3%
44°C
1%
45°C
1%
46°C
1%
47°C
<1%
48°C
<1%
49°C
<1%
50°C
<1%
51°C or higher
<1%
41°C or below 81%
42°C 16%
43°C 2.6%
44°C 1.4%
41°C or below
81%
42°C
16%
43°C
3%
44°C
1%
45°C
1%
46°C
1%
47°C
<1%
48°C
<1%
49°C
<1%
50°C
<1%
51°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKRecent India Meteorological Department forecasts place Lucknow’s maximum temperature near 42–43 °C on May 17 under typical pre-monsoon conditions in the Ganges Plain, where seasonal averages reach 40–42 °C. Persistent cloud cover and light winds observed in the latest model runs have suppressed surface heating, shifting trader consensus toward the 41 °C or below outcome at 80.5 % implied probability. Clear skies would allow stronger solar insolation and push readings into the low 40s, yet current satellite data show sufficient moisture to limit intensification. Historical IMD records confirm that mid-May highs rarely exceed 43 °C without an active heat dome, keeping higher brackets below 4 % combined. Official observation at 0830 IST on May 18 will resolve the market against these verified thresholds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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