Latest ensemble runs from the ECMWF and GFS models have converged on a 13–14 °C peak for Warsaw today, driving the near-even 43 % and 40.5 % implied probabilities on those two outcomes. Persistent low cloud cover and a cool northerly airflow across central Poland are limiting daytime solar heating, keeping maximum temperatures well below the 18–19 °C mid-May climatological average recorded at Warsaw Chopin Airport. Yesterday’s high-pressure warmth has given way to unsettled conditions ahead of a weak frontal passage, with model guidance showing only modest afternoon warming under broken stratocumulus. Traders are therefore weighting the tight 13–15 °C cluster most heavily while discounting warmer outliers above 15 °C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Warsaw on May 16?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on May 16?
13°C 44%
14°C 30%
12°C or below 17.3%
15°C 5%
$33,067 ปริมาณ
$33,067 ปริมาณ
May 16, 2026
12°C or below
17%
13°C
44%
14°C
30%
15°C
5%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
13°C 44%
14°C 30%
12°C or below 17.3%
15°C 5%
$33,067 ปริมาณ
$33,067 ปริมาณ
May 16, 2026
12°C or below
$4,396 ปริมาณ
17%
13°C
$4,037 ปริมาณ
44%
14°C
$3,631 ปริมาณ
30%
15°C
$4,295 ปริมาณ
5%
16°C
$3,213 ปริมาณ
1%
17°C
$2,238 ปริมาณ
<1%
18°C
$1,595 ปริมาณ
<1%
19°C
$2,842 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$3,000 ปริมาณ
1%
21°C
$1,223 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C or higher
$2,598 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble runs from the ECMWF and GFS models have converged on a 13–14 °C peak for Warsaw today, driving the near-even 43 % and 40.5 % implied probabilities on those two outcomes. Persistent low cloud cover and a cool northerly airflow across central Poland are limiting daytime solar heating, keeping maximum temperatures well below the 18–19 °C mid-May climatological average recorded at Warsaw Chopin Airport. Yesterday’s high-pressure warmth has given way to unsettled conditions ahead of a weak frontal passage, with model guidance showing only modest afternoon warming under broken stratocumulus. Traders are therefore weighting the tight 13–15 °C cluster most heavily while discounting warmer outliers above 15 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$33,067วันสิ้นสุด
May 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble runs from the ECMWF and GFS models have converged on a 13–14 °C peak for Warsaw today, driving the near-even 43 % and 40.5 % implied probabilities on those two outcomes. Persistent low cloud cover and a cool northerly airflow across central Poland are limiting daytime solar heating, keeping maximum temperatures well below the 18–19 °C mid-May climatological average recorded at Warsaw Chopin Airport. Yesterday’s high-pressure warmth has given way to unsettled conditions ahead of a weak frontal passage, with model guidance showing only modest afternoon warming under broken stratocumulus. Traders are therefore weighting the tight 13–15 °C cluster most heavily while discounting warmer outliers above 15 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$33,067วันสิ้นสุด
May 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble runs from the ECMWF and GFS models have converged on a 13–14 °C peak for Warsaw today, driving the near-even 43 % and 40.5 % implied probabilities on those two outcomes. Persistent low cloud cover and a cool northerly airflow across central Poland are limiting daytime solar heating, keeping maximum temperatures well below the 18–19 °C mid-May climatological average recorded at Warsaw Chopin Airport. Yesterday’s high-pressure warmth has given way to unsettled conditions ahead of a weak frontal passage, with model guidance showing only modest afternoon warming under broken stratocumulus. Traders are therefore weighting the tight 13–15 °C cluster most heavily while discounting warmer outliers above 15 °C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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