Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System models converge on a daily maximum of 18–19°C for Warsaw on May 18, supporting the market's leading 63.5% implied probability for 19°C or higher. A transient ridge of high pressure is steering milder Atlantic air northward across central Poland, with limited cloud cover expected to allow afternoon solar heating to push readings near or above that threshold. Historical May averages for the region sit near 19°C, providing climatological context, yet minor model spread around timing of frontal passage introduces realistic downside risk into the 18°C bin at 21%. Updated runs ahead of the May 17–18 period will refine peak wind and humidity details that determine exact resolution at Warsaw Chopin Airport.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Warsaw on May 18?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on May 18?
19°C or higher 65%
18°C 22%
17°C 10%
16°C 2.0%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 18, 2026
9°C or below
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
2%
16°C
2%
17°C
10%
18°C
22%
19°C or higher
65%
19°C or higher 65%
18°C 22%
17°C 10%
16°C 2.0%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 18, 2026
9°C or below
$110 ปริมาณ
1%
10°C
$100 ปริมาณ
1%
11°C
$110 ปริมาณ
1%
12°C
$110 ปริมาณ
1%
13°C
$70 ปริมาณ
1%
14°C
$25 ปริมาณ
2%
15°C
$25 ปริมาณ
2%
16°C
$2 ปริมาณ
2%
17°C
$0 ปริมาณ
10%
18°C
$0 ปริมาณ
22%
19°C or higher
$35 ปริมาณ
65%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System models converge on a daily maximum of 18–19°C for Warsaw on May 18, supporting the market's leading 63.5% implied probability for 19°C or higher. A transient ridge of high pressure is steering milder Atlantic air northward across central Poland, with limited cloud cover expected to allow afternoon solar heating to push readings near or above that threshold. Historical May averages for the region sit near 19°C, providing climatological context, yet minor model spread around timing of frontal passage introduces realistic downside risk into the 18°C bin at 21%. Updated runs ahead of the May 17–18 period will refine peak wind and humidity details that determine exact resolution at Warsaw Chopin Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$540วันสิ้นสุด
May 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System models converge on a daily maximum of 18–19°C for Warsaw on May 18, supporting the market's leading 63.5% implied probability for 19°C or higher. A transient ridge of high pressure is steering milder Atlantic air northward across central Poland, with limited cloud cover expected to allow afternoon solar heating to push readings near or above that threshold. Historical May averages for the region sit near 19°C, providing climatological context, yet minor model spread around timing of frontal passage introduces realistic downside risk into the 18°C bin at 21%. Updated runs ahead of the May 17–18 period will refine peak wind and humidity details that determine exact resolution at Warsaw Chopin Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$540วันสิ้นสุด
May 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWARecent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System models converge on a daily maximum of 18–19°C for Warsaw on May 18, supporting the market's leading 63.5% implied probability for 19°C or higher. A transient ridge of high pressure is steering milder Atlantic air northward across central Poland, with limited cloud cover expected to allow afternoon solar heating to push readings near or above that threshold. Historical May averages for the region sit near 19°C, providing climatological context, yet minor model spread around timing of frontal passage introduces realistic downside risk into the 18°C bin at 21%. Updated runs ahead of the May 17–18 period will refine peak wind and humidity details that determine exact resolution at Warsaw Chopin Airport.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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