The overwhelming market consensus on 27°C as Hong Kong’s highest temperature on May 15 stems from official observations by the Hong Kong Observatory, which recorded a precise peak under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions typical for mid-May. These readings reflect daytime warming from clear skies and light winds, consistent with climatological baselines for the season where highs commonly settle in the mid-20s Celsius. Model consensus from regional atmospheric data showed minimal deviation from expected ranges, with no significant heat advection or urban heat-island amplification pushing readings higher. While sensor calibration adjustments or micro-scale variations near the measurement site could theoretically alter the final figure, standardized protocols make such shifts improbable. Final verification data expected shortly will confirm resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 15?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 15?
27°C 100.0%
26°C <1%
28°C <1%
19°C or below <1%
$288,418 ปริมาณ
$288,418 ปริมาณ
May 15, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
27°C 100.0%
26°C <1%
28°C <1%
19°C or below <1%
$288,418 ปริมาณ
$288,418 ปริมาณ
May 15, 2026
19°C or below
$3,197 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$2,451 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$3,480 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$3,250 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$3,796 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$5,477 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$30,133 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$68,740 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$87,748 ปริมาณ
100%
28°C
$44,540 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C or higher
$35,605 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The overwhelming market consensus on 27°C as Hong Kong’s highest temperature on May 15 stems from official observations by the Hong Kong Observatory, which recorded a precise peak under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions typical for mid-May. These readings reflect daytime warming from clear skies and light winds, consistent with climatological baselines for the season where highs commonly settle in the mid-20s Celsius. Model consensus from regional atmospheric data showed minimal deviation from expected ranges, with no significant heat advection or urban heat-island amplification pushing readings higher. While sensor calibration adjustments or micro-scale variations near the measurement site could theoretically alter the final figure, standardized protocols make such shifts improbable. Final verification data expected shortly will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$288,418วันสิ้นสุด
May 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The overwhelming market consensus on 27°C as Hong Kong’s highest temperature on May 15 stems from official observations by the Hong Kong Observatory, which recorded a precise peak under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions typical for mid-May. These readings reflect daytime warming from clear skies and light winds, consistent with climatological baselines for the season where highs commonly settle in the mid-20s Celsius. Model consensus from regional atmospheric data showed minimal deviation from expected ranges, with no significant heat advection or urban heat-island amplification pushing readings higher. While sensor calibration adjustments or micro-scale variations near the measurement site could theoretically alter the final figure, standardized protocols make such shifts improbable. Final verification data expected shortly will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$288,418วันสิ้นสุด
May 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The overwhelming market consensus on 27°C as Hong Kong’s highest temperature on May 15 stems from official observations by the Hong Kong Observatory, which recorded a precise peak under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions typical for mid-May. These readings reflect daytime warming from clear skies and light winds, consistent with climatological baselines for the season where highs commonly settle in the mid-20s Celsius. Model consensus from regional atmospheric data showed minimal deviation from expected ranges, with no significant heat advection or urban heat-island amplification pushing readings higher. While sensor calibration adjustments or micro-scale variations near the measurement site could theoretically alter the final figure, standardized protocols make such shifts improbable. Final verification data expected shortly will confirm resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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