Latest numerical weather prediction models from the Hong Kong Observatory and international ensembles project an afternoon maximum near 25–26°C for May 17 under a stable subtropical high-pressure regime tempered by residual moisture from recent thunderstorms. This setup favors modest daytime heating with cloud cover and scattered showers limiting peak temperatures, consistent with the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 25°C and 26°C. Forecasters note that subtle shifts in steering winds or moisture content could push the high a degree higher or lower by evening, with final official readings from the Observatory’s urban stations determining resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 17?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 17?
26°C 33%
25°C 30%
27°C 23%
24°C 14.2%
ใหม่
$39,087 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$39,087 ปริมาณ
May 17, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
14%
25°C
30%
26°C
33%
27°C
23%
28°C
5%
29°C or higher
1%
26°C 33%
25°C 30%
27°C 23%
24°C 14.2%
ใหม่
$39,087 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$39,087 ปริมาณ
May 17, 2026
19°C or below
$2,541 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$1,774 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$1,998 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$1,393 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$4,313 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$7,630 ปริมาณ
14%
25°C
$5,057 ปริมาณ
30%
26°C
$3,380 ปริมาณ
33%
27°C
$3,259 ปริมาณ
23%
28°C
$3,127 ปริมาณ
5%
29°C or higher
$4,658 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest numerical weather prediction models from the Hong Kong Observatory and international ensembles project an afternoon maximum near 25–26°C for May 17 under a stable subtropical high-pressure regime tempered by residual moisture from recent thunderstorms. This setup favors modest daytime heating with cloud cover and scattered showers limiting peak temperatures, consistent with the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 25°C and 26°C. Forecasters note that subtle shifts in steering winds or moisture content could push the high a degree higher or lower by evening, with final official readings from the Observatory’s urban stations determining resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$39,087วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest numerical weather prediction models from the Hong Kong Observatory and international ensembles project an afternoon maximum near 25–26°C for May 17 under a stable subtropical high-pressure regime tempered by residual moisture from recent thunderstorms. This setup favors modest daytime heating with cloud cover and scattered showers limiting peak temperatures, consistent with the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 25°C and 26°C. Forecasters note that subtle shifts in steering winds or moisture content could push the high a degree higher or lower by evening, with final official readings from the Observatory’s urban stations determining resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$39,087วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETLatest numerical weather prediction models from the Hong Kong Observatory and international ensembles project an afternoon maximum near 25–26°C for May 17 under a stable subtropical high-pressure regime tempered by residual moisture from recent thunderstorms. This setup favors modest daytime heating with cloud cover and scattered showers limiting peak temperatures, consistent with the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 25°C and 26°C. Forecasters note that subtle shifts in steering winds or moisture content could push the high a degree higher or lower by evening, with final official readings from the Observatory’s urban stations determining resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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