National Weather Service forecast models point to a high of 53–56°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport on May 16, reflecting persistent southwesterly onshore flow that advects cool, moist marine air following a cold front. This pattern has suppressed afternoon heating well below the May climatological average of 66°F, with scattered showers and gusty winds limiting boundary-layer warming by 2–4°F. Trader probabilities cluster tightly around 52–57°F because model consensus on cloud-cover duration and precipitation timing remains high, while recent record warmth near 82°F on May 12 underscores the abrupt shift to unseasonably cool conditions. Updated afternoon NWS guidance on marine stratus persistence could further refine the narrow spread between the 54–55°F and 52–53°F bins.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Seattle on May 16?
52-53°F 35%
54-55°F 35%
56-57°F 17%
50-51°F 10%
$27,017 ปริมาณ
$27,017 ปริมาณ
47°F or below
<1%
48-49°F
1%
50-51°F
10%
52-53°F
35%
54-55°F
35%
56-57°F
17%
58-59°F
6%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66°F or higher
<1%
52-53°F 35%
54-55°F 35%
56-57°F 17%
50-51°F 10%
$27,017 ปริมาณ
$27,017 ปริมาณ
47°F or below
<1%
48-49°F
1%
50-51°F
10%
52-53°F
35%
54-55°F
35%
56-57°F
17%
58-59°F
6%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecast models point to a high of 53–56°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport on May 16, reflecting persistent southwesterly onshore flow that advects cool, moist marine air following a cold front. This pattern has suppressed afternoon heating well below the May climatological average of 66°F, with scattered showers and gusty winds limiting boundary-layer warming by 2–4°F. Trader probabilities cluster tightly around 52–57°F because model consensus on cloud-cover duration and precipitation timing remains high, while recent record warmth near 82°F on May 12 underscores the abrupt shift to unseasonably cool conditions. Updated afternoon NWS guidance on marine stratus persistence could further refine the narrow spread between the 54–55°F and 52–53°F bins.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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