Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors Jeddah recording a high of 37°C or higher (74.5%) on May 17, driven by the latest global forecast model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS projecting peak daytime temperatures near 38°C under a dominant high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and intense solar insolation over the Arabian Peninsula. Recent observations reflect this positioning: after early May peaks of 41°C on May 6 followed by transient cooling to 33°C around May 10 amid passing weather disturbances, current Saudi National Center for Meteorology guidance anticipates a rebound to above-average seasonal norms, where May highs typically average 37°C with rare cloud interference. Precise outcomes like 36°C (20.5%), 35°C (19.5%), and 34°C (19.5%) capture model spread uncertainties from coastal Red Sea influences on sea-breeze moderation. Daily 00Z/12Z model updates through May 16 will likely sharpen these market-implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Jeddah on May 17?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on May 17?
37°C or higher 85%
36°C 14%
35°C 2.7%
34°C 1.1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 17, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
3%
36°C
14%
37°C or higher
85%
37°C or higher 85%
36°C 14%
35°C 2.7%
34°C 1.1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 17, 2026
27°C or below
$706 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$679 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$707 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$1,266 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$881 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C
$799 ปริมาณ
<1%
33°C
$1,094 ปริมาณ
1%
34°C
$520 ปริมาณ
1%
35°C
$377 ปริมาณ
3%
36°C
$523 ปริมาณ
14%
37°C or higher
$205 ปริมาณ
85%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors Jeddah recording a high of 37°C or higher (74.5%) on May 17, driven by the latest global forecast model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS projecting peak daytime temperatures near 38°C under a dominant high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and intense solar insolation over the Arabian Peninsula. Recent observations reflect this positioning: after early May peaks of 41°C on May 6 followed by transient cooling to 33°C around May 10 amid passing weather disturbances, current Saudi National Center for Meteorology guidance anticipates a rebound to above-average seasonal norms, where May highs typically average 37°C with rare cloud interference. Precise outcomes like 36°C (20.5%), 35°C (19.5%), and 34°C (19.5%) capture model spread uncertainties from coastal Red Sea influences on sea-breeze moderation. Daily 00Z/12Z model updates through May 16 will likely sharpen these market-implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,758วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors Jeddah recording a high of 37°C or higher (74.5%) on May 17, driven by the latest global forecast model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS projecting peak daytime temperatures near 38°C under a dominant high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and intense solar insolation over the Arabian Peninsula. Recent observations reflect this positioning: after early May peaks of 41°C on May 6 followed by transient cooling to 33°C around May 10 amid passing weather disturbances, current Saudi National Center for Meteorology guidance anticipates a rebound to above-average seasonal norms, where May highs typically average 37°C with rare cloud interference. Precise outcomes like 36°C (20.5%), 35°C (19.5%), and 34°C (19.5%) capture model spread uncertainties from coastal Red Sea influences on sea-breeze moderation. Daily 00Z/12Z model updates through May 16 will likely sharpen these market-implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,758วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNTrader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors Jeddah recording a high of 37°C or higher (74.5%) on May 17, driven by the latest global forecast model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS projecting peak daytime temperatures near 38°C under a dominant high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and intense solar insolation over the Arabian Peninsula. Recent observations reflect this positioning: after early May peaks of 41°C on May 6 followed by transient cooling to 33°C around May 10 amid passing weather disturbances, current Saudi National Center for Meteorology guidance anticipates a rebound to above-average seasonal norms, where May highs typically average 37°C with rare cloud interference. Precise outcomes like 36°C (20.5%), 35°C (19.5%), and 34°C (19.5%) capture model spread uncertainties from coastal Red Sea influences on sea-breeze moderation. Daily 00Z/12Z model updates through May 16 will likely sharpen these market-implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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