Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from ECMWF and GFS, along with Roshydromet guidance, place Moscow’s May 17 maximum near 23–24 °C under mostly cloudy skies and periods of light rain. Southwesterly flow advects milder air while increased cloud cover and precipitation suppress peak insolation, limiting diurnal heating relative to recent clearer days. This positions 25 °C and 24 °C as the tightest market outcomes, with modest upside risk to 26 °C if breaks in cloud allow extra solar input. The spread reflects typical ensemble uncertainty in spring frontal systems, where small shifts in timing of showers can alter the observed high by 1–2 °C before the official 24-hour measurement window closes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Moscow on May 17?
Highest temperature in Moscow on May 17?
25°C 33%
24°C 27%
26°C 21.0%
23°C 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 17, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
10%
24°C
27%
25°C
33%
26°C
21%
27°C
9%
28°C or higher
2%
25°C 33%
24°C 27%
26°C 21.0%
23°C 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 17, 2026
18°C or below
$910 ปริมาณ
<1%
19°C
$1,087 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$730 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$944 ปริมาณ
1%
22°C
$368 ปริมาณ
4%
23°C
$301 ปริมาณ
10%
24°C
$286 ปริมาณ
27%
25°C
$373 ปริมาณ
33%
26°C
$670 ปริมาณ
21%
27°C
$499 ปริมาณ
9%
28°C or higher
$849 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from ECMWF and GFS, along with Roshydromet guidance, place Moscow’s May 17 maximum near 23–24 °C under mostly cloudy skies and periods of light rain. Southwesterly flow advects milder air while increased cloud cover and precipitation suppress peak insolation, limiting diurnal heating relative to recent clearer days. This positions 25 °C and 24 °C as the tightest market outcomes, with modest upside risk to 26 °C if breaks in cloud allow extra solar input. The spread reflects typical ensemble uncertainty in spring frontal systems, where small shifts in timing of showers can alter the observed high by 1–2 °C before the official 24-hour measurement window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,006วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from ECMWF and GFS, along with Roshydromet guidance, place Moscow’s May 17 maximum near 23–24 °C under mostly cloudy skies and periods of light rain. Southwesterly flow advects milder air while increased cloud cover and precipitation suppress peak insolation, limiting diurnal heating relative to recent clearer days. This positions 25 °C and 24 °C as the tightest market outcomes, with modest upside risk to 26 °C if breaks in cloud allow extra solar input. The spread reflects typical ensemble uncertainty in spring frontal systems, where small shifts in timing of showers can alter the observed high by 1–2 °C before the official 24-hour measurement window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,006วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETLatest numerical weather prediction ensembles from ECMWF and GFS, along with Roshydromet guidance, place Moscow’s May 17 maximum near 23–24 °C under mostly cloudy skies and periods of light rain. Southwesterly flow advects milder air while increased cloud cover and precipitation suppress peak insolation, limiting diurnal heating relative to recent clearer days. This positions 25 °C and 24 °C as the tightest market outcomes, with modest upside risk to 26 °C if breaks in cloud allow extra solar input. The spread reflects typical ensemble uncertainty in spring frontal systems, where small shifts in timing of showers can alter the observed high by 1–2 °C before the official 24-hour measurement window closes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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