Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race among 29–31°C outcomes for Wuhan's highest temperature on May 16, reflecting latest AccuWeather forecasts of 28–29°C amid persistent high humidity near 80% and cloudy skies with 90% precipitation odds from morning thunderstorms and afternoon showers. Elevated trader-implied odds for 30–31°C stem from uncertainty in diurnal boundary layer heating and potential brief sun breaks, which boosted the May 11 peak to 31°C despite similar moist conditions; light easterly winds at 9 km/h offer limited ventilation to cap peaks lower. Recent China Meteorological Administration observations—26°C on May 13, 28°C on May 14—underscore convective suppression, with hourly station data tomorrow clarifying resolution per official methodology. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF updates expected overnight could shift sentiment further.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Wuhan on May 16?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 16?
30°C 31%
29°C 26%
31°C 26%
32°C 15%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 16, 2026
26°C or below
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
6%
29°C
26%
30°C
31%
31°C
26%
32°C
15%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
30°C 31%
29°C 26%
31°C 26%
32°C 15%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 16, 2026
26°C or below
$1,259 ปริมาณ
1%
27°C
$311 ปริมาณ
3%
28°C
$404 ปริมาณ
6%
29°C
$339 ปริมาณ
26%
30°C
$397 ปริมาณ
31%
31°C
$464 ปริมาณ
26%
32°C
$575 ปริมาณ
15%
33°C
$359 ปริมาณ
1%
34°C
$410 ปริมาณ
1%
35°C
$311 ปริมาณ
<1%
36°C or higher
$381 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race among 29–31°C outcomes for Wuhan's highest temperature on May 16, reflecting latest AccuWeather forecasts of 28–29°C amid persistent high humidity near 80% and cloudy skies with 90% precipitation odds from morning thunderstorms and afternoon showers. Elevated trader-implied odds for 30–31°C stem from uncertainty in diurnal boundary layer heating and potential brief sun breaks, which boosted the May 11 peak to 31°C despite similar moist conditions; light easterly winds at 9 km/h offer limited ventilation to cap peaks lower. Recent China Meteorological Administration observations—26°C on May 13, 28°C on May 14—underscore convective suppression, with hourly station data tomorrow clarifying resolution per official methodology. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF updates expected overnight could shift sentiment further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 14, 2026, 12:48 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,181วันสิ้นสุด
May 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 14, 2026, 12:48 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race among 29–31°C outcomes for Wuhan's highest temperature on May 16, reflecting latest AccuWeather forecasts of 28–29°C amid persistent high humidity near 80% and cloudy skies with 90% precipitation odds from morning thunderstorms and afternoon showers. Elevated trader-implied odds for 30–31°C stem from uncertainty in diurnal boundary layer heating and potential brief sun breaks, which boosted the May 11 peak to 31°C despite similar moist conditions; light easterly winds at 9 km/h offer limited ventilation to cap peaks lower. Recent China Meteorological Administration observations—26°C on May 13, 28°C on May 14—underscore convective suppression, with hourly station data tomorrow clarifying resolution per official methodology. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF updates expected overnight could shift sentiment further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,181วันสิ้นสุด
May 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 14, 2026, 12:48 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race among 29–31°C outcomes for Wuhan's highest temperature on May 16, reflecting latest AccuWeather forecasts of 28–29°C amid persistent high humidity near 80% and cloudy skies with 90% precipitation odds from morning thunderstorms and afternoon showers. Elevated trader-implied odds for 30–31°C stem from uncertainty in diurnal boundary layer heating and potential brief sun breaks, which boosted the May 11 peak to 31°C despite similar moist conditions; light easterly winds at 9 km/h offer limited ventilation to cap peaks lower. Recent China Meteorological Administration observations—26°C on May 13, 28°C on May 14—underscore convective suppression, with hourly station data tomorrow clarifying resolution per official methodology. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF updates expected overnight could shift sentiment further.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย