Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 24°C as Shanghai's highest temperature on May 15, 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by official observations from the Shanghai Pudong International Airport weather station (ZSPD) under China Meteorological Administration guidance showing a peak of 24°C amid persistent broken cloud cover and moderate southerly winds from the East China Sea. These conditions—evident in recent METAR reports like 22°C/18°C at 0030Z—have suppressed daytime heating, mirroring May 14's identical 24°C high and aligning with forecast model consensus for subdued peaks below the mid-May climatological average of 25–26°C. While minimal uncertainty remains with the local day advancing, a rare late-afternoon clearing or data revision could theoretically push toward 25°C, though onshore flow makes this unlikely. Final CMA daily report expected soon.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Shanghai on May 15?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on May 15?
24°C 100.0%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$121,209 ปริมาณ
$121,209 ปริมาณ
May 15, 2026
24°C
100%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 100.0%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$121,209 ปริมาณ
$121,209 ปริมาณ
May 15, 2026
24°C
$25,142 ปริมาณ
100%
25°C
$14,610 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$13,568 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$13,440 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$9,217 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$4,982 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C or higher
$3,580 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 24°C as Shanghai's highest temperature on May 15, 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by official observations from the Shanghai Pudong International Airport weather station (ZSPD) under China Meteorological Administration guidance showing a peak of 24°C amid persistent broken cloud cover and moderate southerly winds from the East China Sea. These conditions—evident in recent METAR reports like 22°C/18°C at 0030Z—have suppressed daytime heating, mirroring May 14's identical 24°C high and aligning with forecast model consensus for subdued peaks below the mid-May climatological average of 25–26°C. While minimal uncertainty remains with the local day advancing, a rare late-afternoon clearing or data revision could theoretically push toward 25°C, though onshore flow makes this unlikely. Final CMA daily report expected soon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$121,209วันสิ้นสุด
May 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 24°C as Shanghai's highest temperature on May 15, 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by official observations from the Shanghai Pudong International Airport weather station (ZSPD) under China Meteorological Administration guidance showing a peak of 24°C amid persistent broken cloud cover and moderate southerly winds from the East China Sea. These conditions—evident in recent METAR reports like 22°C/18°C at 0030Z—have suppressed daytime heating, mirroring May 14's identical 24°C high and aligning with forecast model consensus for subdued peaks below the mid-May climatological average of 25–26°C. While minimal uncertainty remains with the local day advancing, a rare late-afternoon clearing or data revision could theoretically push toward 25°C, though onshore flow makes this unlikely. Final CMA daily report expected soon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$121,209วันสิ้นสุด
May 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 24°C as Shanghai's highest temperature on May 15, 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by official observations from the Shanghai Pudong International Airport weather station (ZSPD) under China Meteorological Administration guidance showing a peak of 24°C amid persistent broken cloud cover and moderate southerly winds from the East China Sea. These conditions—evident in recent METAR reports like 22°C/18°C at 0030Z—have suppressed daytime heating, mirroring May 14's identical 24°C high and aligning with forecast model consensus for subdued peaks below the mid-May climatological average of 25–26°C. While minimal uncertainty remains with the local day advancing, a rare late-afternoon clearing or data revision could theoretically push toward 25°C, though onshore flow makes this unlikely. Final CMA daily report expected soon.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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