Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 12–16°C outcomes at 19–20.5% implied probabilities, driven by the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI)'s latest forecast of a 15°C high for Amsterdam on May 17 amid partly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and light southerly winds at force 3. This follows a cool spell over the past week, with northwesterly flows capping recent maxima at 12–13°C, but a subtle shift to zonal flow introduces mild instability, limiting peak heating via cloud cover and precipitation. ECMWF and GFS ensemble models show spread in this range due to uncertainties in shower timing and solar insolation, consistent with mid-May climatology averaging 16°C highs. New model runs from KNMI and global centers tomorrow could sharpen differentiation among these closely matched bins.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Amsterdam on May 17?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on May 17?
15°C 34%
14°C 29%
13°C 17%
16°C 16.0%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 17, 2026
10°C or below
1%
11°C
2%
12°C
2%
13°C
17%
14°C
29%
15°C
34%
16°C
16%
17°C
3%
18°C
3%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
<1%
15°C 34%
14°C 29%
13°C 17%
16°C 16.0%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 17, 2026
10°C or below
$65 ปริมาณ
1%
11°C
$62 ปริมาณ
2%
12°C
$117 ปริมาณ
2%
13°C
$40 ปริมาณ
17%
14°C
$35 ปริมาณ
29%
15°C
$49 ปริมาณ
34%
16°C
$1 ปริมาณ
16%
17°C
$2 ปริมาณ
3%
18°C
$10 ปริมาณ
3%
19°C
$65 ปริมาณ
1%
20°C or higher
$98 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 12–16°C outcomes at 19–20.5% implied probabilities, driven by the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI)'s latest forecast of a 15°C high for Amsterdam on May 17 amid partly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and light southerly winds at force 3. This follows a cool spell over the past week, with northwesterly flows capping recent maxima at 12–13°C, but a subtle shift to zonal flow introduces mild instability, limiting peak heating via cloud cover and precipitation. ECMWF and GFS ensemble models show spread in this range due to uncertainties in shower timing and solar insolation, consistent with mid-May climatology averaging 16°C highs. New model runs from KNMI and global centers tomorrow could sharpen differentiation among these closely matched bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$543วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 12–16°C outcomes at 19–20.5% implied probabilities, driven by the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI)'s latest forecast of a 15°C high for Amsterdam on May 17 amid partly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and light southerly winds at force 3. This follows a cool spell over the past week, with northwesterly flows capping recent maxima at 12–13°C, but a subtle shift to zonal flow introduces mild instability, limiting peak heating via cloud cover and precipitation. ECMWF and GFS ensemble models show spread in this range due to uncertainties in shower timing and solar insolation, consistent with mid-May climatology averaging 16°C highs. New model runs from KNMI and global centers tomorrow could sharpen differentiation among these closely matched bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$543วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMTrader sentiment clusters tightly around 12–16°C outcomes at 19–20.5% implied probabilities, driven by the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI)'s latest forecast of a 15°C high for Amsterdam on May 17 amid partly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and light southerly winds at force 3. This follows a cool spell over the past week, with northwesterly flows capping recent maxima at 12–13°C, but a subtle shift to zonal flow introduces mild instability, limiting peak heating via cloud cover and precipitation. ECMWF and GFS ensemble models show spread in this range due to uncertainties in shower timing and solar insolation, consistent with mid-May climatology averaging 16°C highs. New model runs from KNMI and global centers tomorrow could sharpen differentiation among these closely matched bins.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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