Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System place Istanbul’s peak temperature on May 17 near the mid-May climatological average of 20–22 °C, with model consensus favoring a high of 20–21 °C under moderate southeasterly flow and limited moisture. This positioning underpins the tight clustering of implied probabilities around those three outcomes. The Bosphorus marine influence and typical May cloud patterns introduce modest uncertainty in afternoon maximum readings, while stable high pressure supports surface heating without significant advection of warmer continental air. Updated model runs tonight and official Turkish State Meteorological Service briefings tomorrow morning will provide the final guidance ahead of the 24-hour resolution window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Istanbul on May 17?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on May 17?
21°C 35%
20°C 27%
22°C 19%
19°C 9.8%
ใหม่
$23,773 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$23,773 ปริมาณ
May 17, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
10%
20°C
27%
21°C
35%
22°C
19%
23°C
5%
24°C or higher
<1%
21°C 35%
20°C 27%
22°C 19%
19°C 9.8%
ใหม่
$23,773 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$23,773 ปริมาณ
May 17, 2026
14°C or below
$552 ปริมาณ
<1%
15°C
$411 ปริมาณ
<1%
16°C
$13,179 ปริมาณ
<1%
17°C
$1,836 ปริมาณ
<1%
18°C
$1,588 ปริมาณ
1%
19°C
$1,680 ปริมาณ
10%
20°C
$618 ปริมาณ
27%
21°C
$249 ปริมาณ
35%
22°C
$486 ปริมาณ
19%
23°C
$1,542 ปริมาณ
5%
24°C or higher
$1,631 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System place Istanbul’s peak temperature on May 17 near the mid-May climatological average of 20–22 °C, with model consensus favoring a high of 20–21 °C under moderate southeasterly flow and limited moisture. This positioning underpins the tight clustering of implied probabilities around those three outcomes. The Bosphorus marine influence and typical May cloud patterns introduce modest uncertainty in afternoon maximum readings, while stable high pressure supports surface heating without significant advection of warmer continental air. Updated model runs tonight and official Turkish State Meteorological Service briefings tomorrow morning will provide the final guidance ahead of the 24-hour resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$23,773วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System place Istanbul’s peak temperature on May 17 near the mid-May climatological average of 20–22 °C, with model consensus favoring a high of 20–21 °C under moderate southeasterly flow and limited moisture. This positioning underpins the tight clustering of implied probabilities around those three outcomes. The Bosphorus marine influence and typical May cloud patterns introduce modest uncertainty in afternoon maximum readings, while stable high pressure supports surface heating without significant advection of warmer continental air. Updated model runs tonight and official Turkish State Meteorological Service briefings tomorrow morning will provide the final guidance ahead of the 24-hour resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$23,773วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETLatest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System place Istanbul’s peak temperature on May 17 near the mid-May climatological average of 20–22 °C, with model consensus favoring a high of 20–21 °C under moderate southeasterly flow and limited moisture. This positioning underpins the tight clustering of implied probabilities around those three outcomes. The Bosphorus marine influence and typical May cloud patterns introduce modest uncertainty in afternoon maximum readings, while stable high pressure supports surface heating without significant advection of warmer continental air. Updated model runs tonight and official Turkish State Meteorological Service briefings tomorrow morning will provide the final guidance ahead of the 24-hour resolution window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย