Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest INMET forecasts projecting a high of 25°C in São Paulo on May 16 under mostly cloudy skies with a chance of light showers and minimums around 14–17°C, driving the 36.5% implied probability for 25°C over 26°C at 30.5%. Close contention between these outcomes stems from model spread in ECMWF and GFS ensembles, where slight variations in afternoon cloud cover and sea breeze strength could tip peaks 1°C higher via enhanced diurnal heating or lower via persistent overcast from a weakening post-frontal system. Recent stabilization after early May's cold snaps and highs near 26°C on May 13 has tempered extremes, with southerly winds limiting advection. INMET's May 15 afternoon update will clarify hourly trends ahead of resolution at the official Mirante de Santana station.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on May 16?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on May 16?
25°C 34%
26°C 32%
24°C 18%
27°C 13.5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 16, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
18%
25°C
34%
26°C
32%
27°C
13%
28°C
5%
29°C or higher
1%
25°C 34%
26°C 32%
24°C 18%
27°C 13.5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 16, 2026
19°C or below
$950 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$902 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$533 ปริมาณ
1%
22°C
$759 ปริมาณ
1%
23°C
$1,335 ปริมาณ
3%
24°C
$841 ปริมาณ
18%
25°C
$894 ปริมาณ
34%
26°C
$917 ปริมาณ
32%
27°C
$540 ปริมาณ
13%
28°C
$656 ปริมาณ
5%
29°C or higher
$745 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest INMET forecasts projecting a high of 25°C in São Paulo on May 16 under mostly cloudy skies with a chance of light showers and minimums around 14–17°C, driving the 36.5% implied probability for 25°C over 26°C at 30.5%. Close contention between these outcomes stems from model spread in ECMWF and GFS ensembles, where slight variations in afternoon cloud cover and sea breeze strength could tip peaks 1°C higher via enhanced diurnal heating or lower via persistent overcast from a weakening post-frontal system. Recent stabilization after early May's cold snaps and highs near 26°C on May 13 has tempered extremes, with southerly winds limiting advection. INMET's May 15 afternoon update will clarify hourly trends ahead of resolution at the official Mirante de Santana station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,064วันสิ้นสุด
May 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest INMET forecasts projecting a high of 25°C in São Paulo on May 16 under mostly cloudy skies with a chance of light showers and minimums around 14–17°C, driving the 36.5% implied probability for 25°C over 26°C at 30.5%. Close contention between these outcomes stems from model spread in ECMWF and GFS ensembles, where slight variations in afternoon cloud cover and sea breeze strength could tip peaks 1°C higher via enhanced diurnal heating or lower via persistent overcast from a weakening post-frontal system. Recent stabilization after early May's cold snaps and highs near 26°C on May 13 has tempered extremes, with southerly winds limiting advection. INMET's May 15 afternoon update will clarify hourly trends ahead of resolution at the official Mirante de Santana station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,064วันสิ้นสุด
May 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest INMET forecasts projecting a high of 25°C in São Paulo on May 16 under mostly cloudy skies with a chance of light showers and minimums around 14–17°C, driving the 36.5% implied probability for 25°C over 26°C at 30.5%. Close contention between these outcomes stems from model spread in ECMWF and GFS ensembles, where slight variations in afternoon cloud cover and sea breeze strength could tip peaks 1°C higher via enhanced diurnal heating or lower via persistent overcast from a weakening post-frontal system. Recent stabilization after early May's cold snaps and highs near 26°C on May 13 has tempered extremes, with southerly winds limiting advection. INMET's May 15 afternoon update will clarify hourly trends ahead of resolution at the official Mirante de Santana station.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย