Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecast models project Busan's maximum temperature at 27°C today under a dominant high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies, light southerly winds, and efficient radiative heating—conditions confirmed by morning observations already approaching 25°C. This tight model consensus, with minimal ensemble spread, underpins the 94.5% trader implied probability, reflecting above-climatological May norms (typically 22–25°C highs) amid subsidence suppressing clouds. Realistic challenges include an intensifying sea breeze from Busan's coastal location introducing cooler marine air or unexpected afternoon cloudiness, potentially limiting the peak to 26°C; conversely, prolonged sunshine could nudge it to 28°C. Monitor KMA hourly updates through evening for final resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Busan on May 15?
Highest temperature in Busan on May 15?
27°C 88%
28°C 7.4%
29°C or higher 2.4%
24°C <1%
$51,396 ปริมาณ
$51,396 ปริมาณ
May 15, 2026
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
88%
28°C
7%
29°C or higher
2%
27°C 88%
28°C 7.4%
29°C or higher 2.4%
24°C <1%
$51,396 ปริมาณ
$51,396 ปริมาณ
May 15, 2026
24°C
$10,558 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$5,484 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$4,359 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$4,490 ปริมาณ
88%
28°C
$5,167 ปริมาณ
7%
29°C or higher
$3,505 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecast models project Busan's maximum temperature at 27°C today under a dominant high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies, light southerly winds, and efficient radiative heating—conditions confirmed by morning observations already approaching 25°C. This tight model consensus, with minimal ensemble spread, underpins the 94.5% trader implied probability, reflecting above-climatological May norms (typically 22–25°C highs) amid subsidence suppressing clouds. Realistic challenges include an intensifying sea breeze from Busan's coastal location introducing cooler marine air or unexpected afternoon cloudiness, potentially limiting the peak to 26°C; conversely, prolonged sunshine could nudge it to 28°C. Monitor KMA hourly updates through evening for final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 13, 2026, 12:43 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$51,396วันสิ้นสุด
May 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 13, 2026, 12:43 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecast models project Busan's maximum temperature at 27°C today under a dominant high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies, light southerly winds, and efficient radiative heating—conditions confirmed by morning observations already approaching 25°C. This tight model consensus, with minimal ensemble spread, underpins the 94.5% trader implied probability, reflecting above-climatological May norms (typically 22–25°C highs) amid subsidence suppressing clouds. Realistic challenges include an intensifying sea breeze from Busan's coastal location introducing cooler marine air or unexpected afternoon cloudiness, potentially limiting the peak to 26°C; conversely, prolonged sunshine could nudge it to 28°C. Monitor KMA hourly updates through evening for final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$51,396วันสิ้นสุด
May 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 13, 2026, 12:43 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecast models project Busan's maximum temperature at 27°C today under a dominant high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies, light southerly winds, and efficient radiative heating—conditions confirmed by morning observations already approaching 25°C. This tight model consensus, with minimal ensemble spread, underpins the 94.5% trader implied probability, reflecting above-climatological May norms (typically 22–25°C highs) amid subsidence suppressing clouds. Realistic challenges include an intensifying sea breeze from Busan's coastal location introducing cooler marine air or unexpected afternoon cloudiness, potentially limiting the peak to 26°C; conversely, prolonged sunshine could nudge it to 28°C. Monitor KMA hourly updates through evening for final resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย