Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecast models project Busan's maximum temperature on May 17 at around 30–33°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies and light winds, driving trader consensus to a 50% implied probability for 33°C or higher. This reflects recent developments including above-seasonal norms throughout May 2026—averaging 6–8°C warmer than the typical 22–24°C May high—and a surge in heat-related illnesses reported this week amid unseasonably warm conditions following early-May rains. Coastal sea breezes introduce uncertainty, tempering intensification potential and boosting odds for 27–32°C outcomes (17–21%), with model ensembles showing spread. Traders await KMA's next update at 06:00 May 16 for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Busan on May 17?
Highest temperature in Busan on May 17?
29°C 31%
30°C 26%
31°C 17.0%
28°C 11.4%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 17, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
11%
29°C
31%
30°C
28%
31°C
13%
32°C
11%
33°C or higher
<1%
29°C 31%
30°C 26%
31°C 17.0%
28°C 11.4%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 17, 2026
23°C or below
$508 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$425 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$425 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$124 ปริมาณ
1%
27°C
$421 ปริมาณ
1%
28°C
$228 ปริมาณ
11%
29°C
$36 ปริมาณ
31%
30°C
$131 ปริมาณ
28%
31°C
$127 ปริมาณ
13%
32°C
$129 ปริมาณ
11%
33°C or higher
$2,833 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecast models project Busan's maximum temperature on May 17 at around 30–33°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies and light winds, driving trader consensus to a 50% implied probability for 33°C or higher. This reflects recent developments including above-seasonal norms throughout May 2026—averaging 6–8°C warmer than the typical 22–24°C May high—and a surge in heat-related illnesses reported this week amid unseasonably warm conditions following early-May rains. Coastal sea breezes introduce uncertainty, tempering intensification potential and boosting odds for 27–32°C outcomes (17–21%), with model ensembles showing spread. Traders await KMA's next update at 06:00 May 16 for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,387วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecast models project Busan's maximum temperature on May 17 at around 30–33°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies and light winds, driving trader consensus to a 50% implied probability for 33°C or higher. This reflects recent developments including above-seasonal norms throughout May 2026—averaging 6–8°C warmer than the typical 22–24°C May high—and a surge in heat-related illnesses reported this week amid unseasonably warm conditions following early-May rains. Coastal sea breezes introduce uncertainty, tempering intensification potential and boosting odds for 27–32°C outcomes (17–21%), with model ensembles showing spread. Traders await KMA's next update at 06:00 May 16 for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,387วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKKorea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecast models project Busan's maximum temperature on May 17 at around 30–33°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies and light winds, driving trader consensus to a 50% implied probability for 33°C or higher. This reflects recent developments including above-seasonal norms throughout May 2026—averaging 6–8°C warmer than the typical 22–24°C May high—and a surge in heat-related illnesses reported this week amid unseasonably warm conditions following early-May rains. Coastal sea breezes introduce uncertainty, tempering intensification potential and boosting odds for 27–32°C outcomes (17–21%), with model ensembles showing spread. Traders await KMA's next update at 06:00 May 16 for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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