Official meteorological data from Moscow stations, including Vnukovo and VDNKh references monitored by Roshydromet, confirmed a daily maximum temperature of 23°C on May 15 under a high-pressure ridge with southerly winds and intermittent cloud cover that permitted sufficient solar insolation for modest warming above the mid-May climatological average of 19°C. Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS converged on this outcome days prior, reflecting limited convective inhibition and no significant cold-air advection. Trader consensus at near-100% probability for 23°C aligns with these verified observations, though minor adjustments could arise only from final post-processing of hourly readings or station-specific calibration differences.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Moscow on May 15?
Highest temperature in Moscow on May 15?
23°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$61,156 ปริมาณ
$61,156 ปริมาณ
May 15, 2026
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$61,156 ปริมาณ
$61,156 ปริมาณ
May 15, 2026
16°C or below
$1,669 ปริมาณ
No
17°C
$2,520 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$3,409 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$2,804 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$3,035 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$6,983 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$9,452 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$7,891 ปริมาณ
Yes
24°C
$10,043 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$6,274 ปริมาณ
No
26°C or higher
$7,077 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official meteorological data from Moscow stations, including Vnukovo and VDNKh references monitored by Roshydromet, confirmed a daily maximum temperature of 23°C on May 15 under a high-pressure ridge with southerly winds and intermittent cloud cover that permitted sufficient solar insolation for modest warming above the mid-May climatological average of 19°C. Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS converged on this outcome days prior, reflecting limited convective inhibition and no significant cold-air advection. Trader consensus at near-100% probability for 23°C aligns with these verified observations, though minor adjustments could arise only from final post-processing of hourly readings or station-specific calibration differences.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 13, 2026, 1:00 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$61,156วันสิ้นสุด
May 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 13, 2026, 1:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official meteorological data from Moscow stations, including Vnukovo and VDNKh references monitored by Roshydromet, confirmed a daily maximum temperature of 23°C on May 15 under a high-pressure ridge with southerly winds and intermittent cloud cover that permitted sufficient solar insolation for modest warming above the mid-May climatological average of 19°C. Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS converged on this outcome days prior, reflecting limited convective inhibition and no significant cold-air advection. Trader consensus at near-100% probability for 23°C aligns with these verified observations, though minor adjustments could arise only from final post-processing of hourly readings or station-specific calibration differences.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$61,156วันสิ้นสุด
May 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 13, 2026, 1:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Official meteorological data from Moscow stations, including Vnukovo and VDNKh references monitored by Roshydromet, confirmed a daily maximum temperature of 23°C on May 15 under a high-pressure ridge with southerly winds and intermittent cloud cover that permitted sufficient solar insolation for modest warming above the mid-May climatological average of 19°C. Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS converged on this outcome days prior, reflecting limited convective inhibition and no significant cold-air advection. Trader consensus at near-100% probability for 23°C aligns with these verified observations, though minor adjustments could arise only from final post-processing of hourly readings or station-specific calibration differences.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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