Korea Meteorological Administration's short-term forecast, updated May 15 at 05:00, projects Seoul highs of 23–33°C on May 17 under mostly clear skies, fueling trader consensus for warmer outcomes with 41.5% implied probability on 26°C or higher and 30.5% on exactly 25°C. This reflects a persistent high-pressure ridge enabling subsidence warming and radiative heating, building on recent above-normal temperatures—May 15 highs neared 31°C per models—against mid-May climatological averages of 22–24°C. Ensemble models like ECMWF and AccuWeather align around 28–30°C, though diurnal swings and minor cloud variability introduce uncertainty; next KMA update expected midday May 16 could refine resolution at Incheon Airport station.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Seoul on May 17?
Highest temperature in Seoul on May 17?
26°C or higher 38%
25°C 30%
24°C 16%
23°C 14%
ใหม่
$24,765 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$24,765 ปริมาณ
May 17, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
14%
24°C
16%
25°C
30%
26°C or higher
38%
26°C or higher 38%
25°C 30%
24°C 16%
23°C 14%
ใหม่
$24,765 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$24,765 ปริมาณ
May 17, 2026
16°C or below
$740 ปริมาณ
<1%
17°C
$812 ปริมาณ
<1%
18°C
$1,716 ปริมาณ
<1%
19°C
$2,520 ปริมาณ
1%
20°C
$3,327 ปริมาณ
1%
21°C
$3,917 ปริมาณ
1%
22°C
$2,770 ปริมาณ
3%
23°C
$2,419 ปริมาณ
14%
24°C
$1,403 ปริมาณ
16%
25°C
$1,672 ปริมาณ
30%
26°C or higher
$4,037 ปริมาณ
38%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration's short-term forecast, updated May 15 at 05:00, projects Seoul highs of 23–33°C on May 17 under mostly clear skies, fueling trader consensus for warmer outcomes with 41.5% implied probability on 26°C or higher and 30.5% on exactly 25°C. This reflects a persistent high-pressure ridge enabling subsidence warming and radiative heating, building on recent above-normal temperatures—May 15 highs neared 31°C per models—against mid-May climatological averages of 22–24°C. Ensemble models like ECMWF and AccuWeather align around 28–30°C, though diurnal swings and minor cloud variability introduce uncertainty; next KMA update expected midday May 16 could refine resolution at Incheon Airport station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$24,765วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration's short-term forecast, updated May 15 at 05:00, projects Seoul highs of 23–33°C on May 17 under mostly clear skies, fueling trader consensus for warmer outcomes with 41.5% implied probability on 26°C or higher and 30.5% on exactly 25°C. This reflects a persistent high-pressure ridge enabling subsidence warming and radiative heating, building on recent above-normal temperatures—May 15 highs neared 31°C per models—against mid-May climatological averages of 22–24°C. Ensemble models like ECMWF and AccuWeather align around 28–30°C, though diurnal swings and minor cloud variability introduce uncertainty; next KMA update expected midday May 16 could refine resolution at Incheon Airport station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$24,765วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIKorea Meteorological Administration's short-term forecast, updated May 15 at 05:00, projects Seoul highs of 23–33°C on May 17 under mostly clear skies, fueling trader consensus for warmer outcomes with 41.5% implied probability on 26°C or higher and 30.5% on exactly 25°C. This reflects a persistent high-pressure ridge enabling subsidence warming and radiative heating, building on recent above-normal temperatures—May 15 highs neared 31°C per models—against mid-May climatological averages of 22–24°C. Ensemble models like ECMWF and AccuWeather align around 28–30°C, though diurnal swings and minor cloud variability introduce uncertainty; next KMA update expected midday May 16 could refine resolution at Incheon Airport station.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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