Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 29°C as Singapore's highest temperature on May 15, 2026, driven by official National Environment Agency (NEA) observations at Changi Airport—the market's sole resolution station—peaking at 29°C amid widespread thundery showers and cloudy skies that sharply limited solar insolation and daytime convective heating. NEA reports confirm heavy rainfall totals exceeding 80 mm in areas like Pasir Ris, aligning with inter-monsoon conditions forecasted for May's first half, where frequent showers have moderated early-month highs from 35°C+ to mid-30s or below. Historical May daily maxima average 31–33°C, but today's persistent cloud cover suppressed potential intensification. A realistic challenge would require an upward data revision from late-evening clearance or measurement adjustment, though NEA's real-time station logs through evening make this improbable. Final historical records update expected by month-end.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Singapore on May 15?
Highest temperature in Singapore on May 15?
29°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$94,570 ปริมาณ
$94,570 ปริมาณ
May 15, 2026
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$94,570 ปริมาณ
$94,570 ปริมาณ
May 15, 2026
23°C or below
$1,651 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$1,417 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$897 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$1,094 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$1,767 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$2,878 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$27,748 ปริมาณ
Yes
30°C
$19,991 ปริมาณ
No
31°C
$15,095 ปริมาณ
No
32°C
$10,263 ปริมาณ
No
33°C or higher
$11,770 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 29°C as Singapore's highest temperature on May 15, 2026, driven by official National Environment Agency (NEA) observations at Changi Airport—the market's sole resolution station—peaking at 29°C amid widespread thundery showers and cloudy skies that sharply limited solar insolation and daytime convective heating. NEA reports confirm heavy rainfall totals exceeding 80 mm in areas like Pasir Ris, aligning with inter-monsoon conditions forecasted for May's first half, where frequent showers have moderated early-month highs from 35°C+ to mid-30s or below. Historical May daily maxima average 31–33°C, but today's persistent cloud cover suppressed potential intensification. A realistic challenge would require an upward data revision from late-evening clearance or measurement adjustment, though NEA's real-time station logs through evening make this improbable. Final historical records update expected by month-end.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$94,570วันสิ้นสุด
May 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 29°C as Singapore's highest temperature on May 15, 2026, driven by official National Environment Agency (NEA) observations at Changi Airport—the market's sole resolution station—peaking at 29°C amid widespread thundery showers and cloudy skies that sharply limited solar insolation and daytime convective heating. NEA reports confirm heavy rainfall totals exceeding 80 mm in areas like Pasir Ris, aligning with inter-monsoon conditions forecasted for May's first half, where frequent showers have moderated early-month highs from 35°C+ to mid-30s or below. Historical May daily maxima average 31–33°C, but today's persistent cloud cover suppressed potential intensification. A realistic challenge would require an upward data revision from late-evening clearance or measurement adjustment, though NEA's real-time station logs through evening make this improbable. Final historical records update expected by month-end.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$94,570วันสิ้นสุด
May 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 29°C as Singapore's highest temperature on May 15, 2026, driven by official National Environment Agency (NEA) observations at Changi Airport—the market's sole resolution station—peaking at 29°C amid widespread thundery showers and cloudy skies that sharply limited solar insolation and daytime convective heating. NEA reports confirm heavy rainfall totals exceeding 80 mm in areas like Pasir Ris, aligning with inter-monsoon conditions forecasted for May's first half, where frequent showers have moderated early-month highs from 35°C+ to mid-30s or below. Historical May daily maxima average 31–33°C, but today's persistent cloud cover suppressed potential intensification. A realistic challenge would require an upward data revision from late-evening clearance or measurement adjustment, though NEA's real-time station logs through evening make this improbable. Final historical records update expected by month-end.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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