Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather models indicate a Houston high near 86°F on May 18, driven by typical late-spring southerly flow, moderate humidity, and stable atmospheric conditions that favor the 86-87°F and 88°F-or-higher outcomes with combined market-implied odds above 75%. This range sits close to the 1991-2020 climatological normal of 88°F at Houston Intercontinental Airport. Limited model spread ahead of a weak frontal passage reduces the chance of significant deviation, though minor changes in cloud cover or wind could shift the peak by 1-2°F. Fresh NWS forecast updates expected within 24 hours will provide the next key data point for traders assessing resolution thresholds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Houston on May 18?
88°F or higher 42%
86-87°F 32%
84-85°F 12%
82-83°F 6%
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
6%
84-85°F
12%
86-87°F
32%
88°F or higher
42%
88°F or higher 42%
86-87°F 32%
84-85°F 12%
82-83°F 6%
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
6%
84-85°F
12%
86-87°F
32%
88°F or higher
42%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUCurrent National Weather Service and AccuWeather models indicate a Houston high near 86°F on May 18, driven by typical late-spring southerly flow, moderate humidity, and stable atmospheric conditions that favor the 86-87°F and 88°F-or-higher outcomes with combined market-implied odds above 75%. This range sits close to the 1991-2020 climatological normal of 88°F at Houston Intercontinental Airport. Limited model spread ahead of a weak frontal passage reduces the chance of significant deviation, though minor changes in cloud cover or wind could shift the peak by 1-2°F. Fresh NWS forecast updates expected within 24 hours will provide the next key data point for traders assessing resolution thresholds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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