Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward mid-to-upper 70s highs for New York City Central Park on May 16, with 76-77°F (31.5%) edging 78-79°F (26.5%), reflecting latest National Weather Service guidance and model ensembles projecting peak daytime temperatures around 76-78°F under partly cloudy conditions. Recent 00Z GFS and ECMWF runs show a weak ridge aloft fostering warm air advection from the southwest, light winds (5-10 mph), and sufficient insolation for heating above the climatological May 16 average of 71°F, though sea breeze potential and lingering mid-level clouds introduce uncertainty differentiating lower (74-75°F) from higher bins. NBM statistical guidance aligns closely, with 12Z model updates and afternoon NWS refinements expected to sharpen probabilities before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in NYC on May 16?
Highest temperature in NYC on May 16?
76-77°F 34%
78-79°F 27%
74-75°F 19%
72-73°F 8%
ใหม่
$11,991 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$11,991 ปริมาณ
May 16, 2026
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
4%
72-73°F
8%
74-75°F
19%
76-77°F
34%
78-79°F
27%
80-81°F
7%
82-83°F
2%
84°F or higher
1%
76-77°F 34%
78-79°F 27%
74-75°F 19%
72-73°F 8%
ใหม่
$11,991 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$11,991 ปริมาณ
May 16, 2026
65°F or below
$1,064 ปริมาณ
<1%
66-67°F
$865 ปริมาณ
<1%
68-69°F
$1,465 ปริมาณ
1%
70-71°F
$1,164 ปริมาณ
4%
72-73°F
$1,155 ปริมาณ
8%
74-75°F
$882 ปริมาณ
19%
76-77°F
$774 ปริมาณ
34%
78-79°F
$1,881 ปริมาณ
27%
80-81°F
$1,094 ปริมาณ
7%
82-83°F
$1,148 ปริมาณ
2%
84°F or higher
$649 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward mid-to-upper 70s highs for New York City Central Park on May 16, with 76-77°F (31.5%) edging 78-79°F (26.5%), reflecting latest National Weather Service guidance and model ensembles projecting peak daytime temperatures around 76-78°F under partly cloudy conditions. Recent 00Z GFS and ECMWF runs show a weak ridge aloft fostering warm air advection from the southwest, light winds (5-10 mph), and sufficient insolation for heating above the climatological May 16 average of 71°F, though sea breeze potential and lingering mid-level clouds introduce uncertainty differentiating lower (74-75°F) from higher bins. NBM statistical guidance aligns closely, with 12Z model updates and afternoon NWS refinements expected to sharpen probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,991วันสิ้นสุด
May 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward mid-to-upper 70s highs for New York City Central Park on May 16, with 76-77°F (31.5%) edging 78-79°F (26.5%), reflecting latest National Weather Service guidance and model ensembles projecting peak daytime temperatures around 76-78°F under partly cloudy conditions. Recent 00Z GFS and ECMWF runs show a weak ridge aloft fostering warm air advection from the southwest, light winds (5-10 mph), and sufficient insolation for heating above the climatological May 16 average of 71°F, though sea breeze potential and lingering mid-level clouds introduce uncertainty differentiating lower (74-75°F) from higher bins. NBM statistical guidance aligns closely, with 12Z model updates and afternoon NWS refinements expected to sharpen probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,991วันสิ้นสุด
May 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward mid-to-upper 70s highs for New York City Central Park on May 16, with 76-77°F (31.5%) edging 78-79°F (26.5%), reflecting latest National Weather Service guidance and model ensembles projecting peak daytime temperatures around 76-78°F under partly cloudy conditions. Recent 00Z GFS and ECMWF runs show a weak ridge aloft fostering warm air advection from the southwest, light winds (5-10 mph), and sufficient insolation for heating above the climatological May 16 average of 71°F, though sea breeze potential and lingering mid-level clouds introduce uncertainty differentiating lower (74-75°F) from higher bins. NBM statistical guidance aligns closely, with 12Z model updates and afternoon NWS refinements expected to sharpen probabilities before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย