Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers forecast by the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF ensembles for Shenzhen on May 17 are moderating daytime heating, keeping the market-implied high tightly clustered around 26–28°C. Reduced solar insolation from extensive cloud decks, combined with high humidity near 80% and southerly sea breezes, limits surface warming compared to the mid-May climatological average of 29–30°C. Ensemble spread arises mainly from uncertainties in rainfall timing and intensity: earlier or heavier showers favor the 26°C outcome, while any partial afternoon clearing could push peaks to 28°C. Official resolution relies on Shenzhen station data, with final model runs and morning soundings providing the last key inputs before the day’s maximum is recorded.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Shenzhen on May 17?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on May 17?
26°C 31%
27°C 30%
28°C 28%
29°C 9%
ใหม่
$16,663 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$16,663 ปริมาณ
May 17, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
6%
26°C
31%
27°C
30%
28°C
28%
29°C
9%
30°C
4%
31°C or higher
1%
26°C 31%
27°C 30%
28°C 28%
29°C 9%
ใหม่
$16,663 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$16,663 ปริมาณ
May 17, 2026
21°C or below
$761 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$783 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$2,725 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$3,997 ปริมาณ
1%
25°C
$1,006 ปริมาณ
6%
26°C
$1,055 ปริมาณ
31%
27°C
$875 ปริมาณ
30%
28°C
$756 ปริมาณ
28%
29°C
$796 ปริมาณ
9%
30°C
$583 ปริมาณ
4%
31°C or higher
$3,451 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers forecast by the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF ensembles for Shenzhen on May 17 are moderating daytime heating, keeping the market-implied high tightly clustered around 26–28°C. Reduced solar insolation from extensive cloud decks, combined with high humidity near 80% and southerly sea breezes, limits surface warming compared to the mid-May climatological average of 29–30°C. Ensemble spread arises mainly from uncertainties in rainfall timing and intensity: earlier or heavier showers favor the 26°C outcome, while any partial afternoon clearing could push peaks to 28°C. Official resolution relies on Shenzhen station data, with final model runs and morning soundings providing the last key inputs before the day’s maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,663วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers forecast by the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF ensembles for Shenzhen on May 17 are moderating daytime heating, keeping the market-implied high tightly clustered around 26–28°C. Reduced solar insolation from extensive cloud decks, combined with high humidity near 80% and southerly sea breezes, limits surface warming compared to the mid-May climatological average of 29–30°C. Ensemble spread arises mainly from uncertainties in rainfall timing and intensity: earlier or heavier showers favor the 26°C outcome, while any partial afternoon clearing could push peaks to 28°C. Official resolution relies on Shenzhen station data, with final model runs and morning soundings providing the last key inputs before the day’s maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,663วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZPersistent cloud cover and scattered showers forecast by the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF ensembles for Shenzhen on May 17 are moderating daytime heating, keeping the market-implied high tightly clustered around 26–28°C. Reduced solar insolation from extensive cloud decks, combined with high humidity near 80% and southerly sea breezes, limits surface warming compared to the mid-May climatological average of 29–30°C. Ensemble spread arises mainly from uncertainties in rainfall timing and intensity: earlier or heavier showers favor the 26°C outcome, while any partial afternoon clearing could push peaks to 28°C. Official resolution relies on Shenzhen station data, with final model runs and morning soundings providing the last key inputs before the day’s maximum is recorded.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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