Current forecast models from the UK Met Office and ECMWF indicate a mild overnight period for London on May 20, with minimum temperatures likely settling between 10°C and 13°C amid light southerly flow, patchy cloud, and limited radiative cooling. These conditions align with recent spring warming trends that have pushed 2026 May averages above the long-term 8°C climatological low, reducing the odds of sharp drops below 10°C. Trader consensus favors the 12–13°C buckets and the 17°C-or-higher range because ensemble runs show modest daytime highs near 19–20°C that moderate the diurnal range. Fresh model updates expected within 48 hours could shift probabilities if clearer skies develop or a northerly wind shift arrives.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in London on May 20?
Lowest temperature in London on May 20?
17°C or higher 38%
7°C or below 21%
13°C 20%
12°C 17%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 20, 2026
7°C or below
21%
8°C
5%
9°C
5%
10°C
8%
11°C
10%
12°C
17%
13°C
20%
14°C
6%
15°C
6%
16°C
5%
17°C or higher
38%
17°C or higher 38%
7°C or below 21%
13°C 20%
12°C 17%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 20, 2026
7°C or below
$47 ปริมาณ
21%
8°C
$47 ปริมาณ
5%
9°C
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
10°C
$0 ปริมาณ
8%
11°C
$0 ปริมาณ
10%
12°C
$0 ปริมาณ
17%
13°C
$0 ปริมาณ
20%
14°C
$0 ปริมาณ
6%
15°C
$0 ปริมาณ
6%
16°C
$14 ปริมาณ
5%
17°C or higher
$60 ปริมาณ
38%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models from the UK Met Office and ECMWF indicate a mild overnight period for London on May 20, with minimum temperatures likely settling between 10°C and 13°C amid light southerly flow, patchy cloud, and limited radiative cooling. These conditions align with recent spring warming trends that have pushed 2026 May averages above the long-term 8°C climatological low, reducing the odds of sharp drops below 10°C. Trader consensus favors the 12–13°C buckets and the 17°C-or-higher range because ensemble runs show modest daytime highs near 19–20°C that moderate the diurnal range. Fresh model updates expected within 48 hours could shift probabilities if clearer skies develop or a northerly wind shift arrives.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$168วันสิ้นสุด
May 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models from the UK Met Office and ECMWF indicate a mild overnight period for London on May 20, with minimum temperatures likely settling between 10°C and 13°C amid light southerly flow, patchy cloud, and limited radiative cooling. These conditions align with recent spring warming trends that have pushed 2026 May averages above the long-term 8°C climatological low, reducing the odds of sharp drops below 10°C. Trader consensus favors the 12–13°C buckets and the 17°C-or-higher range because ensemble runs show modest daytime highs near 19–20°C that moderate the diurnal range. Fresh model updates expected within 48 hours could shift probabilities if clearer skies develop or a northerly wind shift arrives.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$168วันสิ้นสุด
May 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCCurrent forecast models from the UK Met Office and ECMWF indicate a mild overnight period for London on May 20, with minimum temperatures likely settling between 10°C and 13°C amid light southerly flow, patchy cloud, and limited radiative cooling. These conditions align with recent spring warming trends that have pushed 2026 May averages above the long-term 8°C climatological low, reducing the odds of sharp drops below 10°C. Trader consensus favors the 12–13°C buckets and the 17°C-or-higher range because ensemble runs show modest daytime highs near 19–20°C that moderate the diurnal range. Fresh model updates expected within 48 hours could shift probabilities if clearer skies develop or a northerly wind shift arrives.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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