Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and World Meteorological Centre Beijing project a high of 25°C on May 16 amid light rain, overcast skies, and light easterly winds under 12 km/h, marking a sharp drop from May 15's expected 31°C peak. This shift, driven by increased cloud cover reducing solar insolation and evaporative cooling from precipitation, anchors trader sentiment with 29.5% implied probability for 25°C or below and 31% for exactly 26°C. The tight clustering around 25–27°C (27% for 27°C) reflects model consensus near mid-May climatological averages of ~26°C, tempered by uncertainty in rain timing and potential afternoon clearing that could boost highs via greater daytime heating. Hourly updates from official Beijing observatories will refine resolution tomorrow.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Beijing on May 16?
Highest temperature in Beijing on May 16?
25°C or below 33%
26°C 31%
27°C 26%
28°C 9%
ใหม่
$23,918 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$23,918 ปริมาณ
May 16, 2026
25°C or below
33%
26°C
31%
27°C
26%
28°C
9%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
25°C or below 33%
26°C 31%
27°C 26%
28°C 9%
ใหม่
$23,918 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$23,918 ปริมาณ
May 16, 2026
25°C or below
$2,206 ปริมาณ
33%
26°C
$1,576 ปริมาณ
31%
27°C
$1,941 ปริมาณ
26%
28°C
$2,596 ปริมาณ
9%
29°C
$2,174 ปริมาณ
1%
30°C
$2,412 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$972 ปริมาณ
1%
32°C
$1,699 ปริมาณ
<1%
33°C
$5,636 ปริมาณ
<1%
34°C
$1,538 ปริมาณ
<1%
35°C or higher
$1,288 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and World Meteorological Centre Beijing project a high of 25°C on May 16 amid light rain, overcast skies, and light easterly winds under 12 km/h, marking a sharp drop from May 15's expected 31°C peak. This shift, driven by increased cloud cover reducing solar insolation and evaporative cooling from precipitation, anchors trader sentiment with 29.5% implied probability for 25°C or below and 31% for exactly 26°C. The tight clustering around 25–27°C (27% for 27°C) reflects model consensus near mid-May climatological averages of ~26°C, tempered by uncertainty in rain timing and potential afternoon clearing that could boost highs via greater daytime heating. Hourly updates from official Beijing observatories will refine resolution tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 14, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$23,918วันสิ้นสุด
May 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 14, 2026, 12:12 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and World Meteorological Centre Beijing project a high of 25°C on May 16 amid light rain, overcast skies, and light easterly winds under 12 km/h, marking a sharp drop from May 15's expected 31°C peak. This shift, driven by increased cloud cover reducing solar insolation and evaporative cooling from precipitation, anchors trader sentiment with 29.5% implied probability for 25°C or below and 31% for exactly 26°C. The tight clustering around 25–27°C (27% for 27°C) reflects model consensus near mid-May climatological averages of ~26°C, tempered by uncertainty in rain timing and potential afternoon clearing that could boost highs via greater daytime heating. Hourly updates from official Beijing observatories will refine resolution tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$23,918วันสิ้นสุด
May 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 14, 2026, 12:12 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and World Meteorological Centre Beijing project a high of 25°C on May 16 amid light rain, overcast skies, and light easterly winds under 12 km/h, marking a sharp drop from May 15's expected 31°C peak. This shift, driven by increased cloud cover reducing solar insolation and evaporative cooling from precipitation, anchors trader sentiment with 29.5% implied probability for 25°C or below and 31% for exactly 26°C. The tight clustering around 25–27°C (27% for 27°C) reflects model consensus near mid-May climatological averages of ~26°C, tempered by uncertainty in rain timing and potential afternoon clearing that could boost highs via greater daytime heating. Hourly updates from official Beijing observatories will refine resolution tomorrow.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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