Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts and global models like GFS and ECMWF project Beijing's high temperature on May 15 at around 29°C under cloudy skies, anchoring the 88.5% trader consensus for 31°C or below. This follows recent warm spells with observed 33°C on May 13 and a projected 32°C today amid sunny conditions, but an incoming trough introduces cooler mid-level air and reduced insolation, limiting intensification. Mid-May climatology supports this, with historical highs averaging 26-28°C and rare exceedances of 31°C absent heat dome setups. Model ensembles show tight agreement within 27-30°C, though minor uncertainty persists from boundary layer mixing; updated CMA advisories expected overnight could refine probabilities ahead of resolution based on official Beijing Capital International Airport observations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Beijing on May 15?
Highest temperature in Beijing on May 15?
31°C or below 83%
32°C 12%
33°C 3.5%
34°C <1%
ใหม่
$32,797 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$32,797 ปริมาณ
May 15, 2026
31°C or below
83%
32°C
12%
33°C
4%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
31°C or below 83%
32°C 12%
33°C 3.5%
34°C <1%
ใหม่
$32,797 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$32,797 ปริมาณ
May 15, 2026
31°C or below
$5,609 ปริมาณ
83%
32°C
$2,481 ปริมาณ
12%
33°C
$5,619 ปริมาณ
4%
34°C
$4,207 ปริมาณ
1%
35°C
$3,415 ปริมาณ
<1%
36°C
$2,411 ปริมาณ
<1%
37°C
$2,469 ปริมาณ
<1%
38°C
$1,819 ปริมาณ
<1%
39°C
$1,866 ปริมาณ
<1%
40°C
$1,434 ปริมาณ
<1%
41°C or higher
$1,515 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts and global models like GFS and ECMWF project Beijing's high temperature on May 15 at around 29°C under cloudy skies, anchoring the 88.5% trader consensus for 31°C or below. This follows recent warm spells with observed 33°C on May 13 and a projected 32°C today amid sunny conditions, but an incoming trough introduces cooler mid-level air and reduced insolation, limiting intensification. Mid-May climatology supports this, with historical highs averaging 26-28°C and rare exceedances of 31°C absent heat dome setups. Model ensembles show tight agreement within 27-30°C, though minor uncertainty persists from boundary layer mixing; updated CMA advisories expected overnight could refine probabilities ahead of resolution based on official Beijing Capital International Airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 13, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$32,797วันสิ้นสุด
May 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 13, 2026, 12:15 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts and global models like GFS and ECMWF project Beijing's high temperature on May 15 at around 29°C under cloudy skies, anchoring the 88.5% trader consensus for 31°C or below. This follows recent warm spells with observed 33°C on May 13 and a projected 32°C today amid sunny conditions, but an incoming trough introduces cooler mid-level air and reduced insolation, limiting intensification. Mid-May climatology supports this, with historical highs averaging 26-28°C and rare exceedances of 31°C absent heat dome setups. Model ensembles show tight agreement within 27-30°C, though minor uncertainty persists from boundary layer mixing; updated CMA advisories expected overnight could refine probabilities ahead of resolution based on official Beijing Capital International Airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$32,797วันสิ้นสุด
May 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 13, 2026, 12:15 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts and global models like GFS and ECMWF project Beijing's high temperature on May 15 at around 29°C under cloudy skies, anchoring the 88.5% trader consensus for 31°C or below. This follows recent warm spells with observed 33°C on May 13 and a projected 32°C today amid sunny conditions, but an incoming trough introduces cooler mid-level air and reduced insolation, limiting intensification. Mid-May climatology supports this, with historical highs averaging 26-28°C and rare exceedances of 31°C absent heat dome setups. Model ensembles show tight agreement within 27-30°C, though minor uncertainty persists from boundary layer mixing; updated CMA advisories expected overnight could refine probabilities ahead of resolution based on official Beijing Capital International Airport observations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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