Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a high of 24°C or higher in Mexico City on May 16, with 99.8% implied probability, reflecting tight forecast model agreement from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and global ensembles like GFS and ECMWF projecting peaks of 26–30°C under a stable high-pressure ridge and clear skies. May climatology at Benito Juárez International Airport— the market's likely resolution station—shows average highs of 26°C (79°F), with daily maxima rarely dipping below 23°C (73°F), occurring on fewer than 5% of historical days due to the city's high elevation and dry-season solar heating. Realistic challenges include an unexpected cool-air intrusion from the north or prolonged overcast skies suppressing insolation, though current radiosonde and satellite data indicate low likelihood; monitor SMN updates through midday May 16 for final confirmation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Mexico City on May 16?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on May 16?
24°C or higher 99.8%
18°C <1%
23°C <1%
14°C or below <1%
ใหม่
$26,009 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$26,009 ปริมาณ
May 16, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
100%
24°C or higher 99.8%
18°C <1%
23°C <1%
14°C or below <1%
ใหม่
$26,009 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$26,009 ปริมาณ
May 16, 2026
14°C or below
$1,650 ปริมาณ
<1%
15°C
$1,230 ปริมาณ
<1%
16°C
$1,134 ปริมาณ
<1%
17°C
$1,515 ปริมาณ
<1%
18°C
$1,266 ปริมาณ
<1%
19°C
$1,174 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$1,170 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$9,090 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$1,213 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$1,919 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C or higher
$4,648 ปริมาณ
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a high of 24°C or higher in Mexico City on May 16, with 99.8% implied probability, reflecting tight forecast model agreement from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and global ensembles like GFS and ECMWF projecting peaks of 26–30°C under a stable high-pressure ridge and clear skies. May climatology at Benito Juárez International Airport— the market's likely resolution station—shows average highs of 26°C (79°F), with daily maxima rarely dipping below 23°C (73°F), occurring on fewer than 5% of historical days due to the city's high elevation and dry-season solar heating. Realistic challenges include an unexpected cool-air intrusion from the north or prolonged overcast skies suppressing insolation, though current radiosonde and satellite data indicate low likelihood; monitor SMN updates through midday May 16 for final confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$26,009วันสิ้นสุด
May 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a high of 24°C or higher in Mexico City on May 16, with 99.8% implied probability, reflecting tight forecast model agreement from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and global ensembles like GFS and ECMWF projecting peaks of 26–30°C under a stable high-pressure ridge and clear skies. May climatology at Benito Juárez International Airport— the market's likely resolution station—shows average highs of 26°C (79°F), with daily maxima rarely dipping below 23°C (73°F), occurring on fewer than 5% of historical days due to the city's high elevation and dry-season solar heating. Realistic challenges include an unexpected cool-air intrusion from the north or prolonged overcast skies suppressing insolation, though current radiosonde and satellite data indicate low likelihood; monitor SMN updates through midday May 16 for final confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$26,009วันสิ้นสุด
May 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a high of 24°C or higher in Mexico City on May 16, with 99.8% implied probability, reflecting tight forecast model agreement from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and global ensembles like GFS and ECMWF projecting peaks of 26–30°C under a stable high-pressure ridge and clear skies. May climatology at Benito Juárez International Airport— the market's likely resolution station—shows average highs of 26°C (79°F), with daily maxima rarely dipping below 23°C (73°F), occurring on fewer than 5% of historical days due to the city's high elevation and dry-season solar heating. Realistic challenges include an unexpected cool-air intrusion from the north or prolonged overcast skies suppressing insolation, though current radiosonde and satellite data indicate low likelihood; monitor SMN updates through midday May 16 for final confirmation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย