Official observations from Environment and Climate Change Canada confirm Toronto's highest temperature on May 14 reached 11°C at primary reporting stations like Toronto Pearson International Airport, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% market-implied probability for this outcome. Leading forecasts from the Canadian Meteorological Centre and global models (GFS, ECMWF) had converged on cool conditions driven by a deep upper-level trough ushering northerly winds, persistent cloud cover, and scattered light showers that suppressed daytime heating—well below the mid-May climatological average of 18–20°C. This alignment underscores the wisdom of crowds in aggregating forecast uncertainty. Realistic challenges are rare but could include official data revisions from measurement anomalies or station-specific discrepancies, with final daily climate summaries expected to verify.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Toronto on May 14?
Highest temperature in Toronto on May 14?
11°C 100.0%
4°C or below <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$153,714 ปริมาณ
$153,714 ปริมาณ
May 14, 2026
4°C or below
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
Yes
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C or higher
No
11°C 100.0%
4°C or below <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$153,714 ปริมาณ
$153,714 ปริมาณ
May 14, 2026
4°C or below
$4,362 ปริมาณ
No
5°C
$1,345 ปริมาณ
No
6°C
$2,630 ปริมาณ
No
7°C
$1,530 ปริมาณ
No
8°C
$9,692 ปริมาณ
No
9°C
$38,286 ปริมาณ
No
10°C
$43,001 ปริมาณ
No
11°C
$14,611 ปริมาณ
Yes
12°C
$14,383 ปริมาณ
No
13°C
$9,352 ปริมาณ
No
14°C or higher
$14,523 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Environment and Climate Change Canada confirm Toronto's highest temperature on May 14 reached 11°C at primary reporting stations like Toronto Pearson International Airport, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% market-implied probability for this outcome. Leading forecasts from the Canadian Meteorological Centre and global models (GFS, ECMWF) had converged on cool conditions driven by a deep upper-level trough ushering northerly winds, persistent cloud cover, and scattered light showers that suppressed daytime heating—well below the mid-May climatological average of 18–20°C. This alignment underscores the wisdom of crowds in aggregating forecast uncertainty. Realistic challenges are rare but could include official data revisions from measurement anomalies or station-specific discrepancies, with final daily climate summaries expected to verify.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$153,714วันสิ้นสุด
May 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Environment and Climate Change Canada confirm Toronto's highest temperature on May 14 reached 11°C at primary reporting stations like Toronto Pearson International Airport, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% market-implied probability for this outcome. Leading forecasts from the Canadian Meteorological Centre and global models (GFS, ECMWF) had converged on cool conditions driven by a deep upper-level trough ushering northerly winds, persistent cloud cover, and scattered light showers that suppressed daytime heating—well below the mid-May climatological average of 18–20°C. This alignment underscores the wisdom of crowds in aggregating forecast uncertainty. Realistic challenges are rare but could include official data revisions from measurement anomalies or station-specific discrepancies, with final daily climate summaries expected to verify.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$153,714วันสิ้นสุด
May 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Official observations from Environment and Climate Change Canada confirm Toronto's highest temperature on May 14 reached 11°C at primary reporting stations like Toronto Pearson International Airport, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% market-implied probability for this outcome. Leading forecasts from the Canadian Meteorological Centre and global models (GFS, ECMWF) had converged on cool conditions driven by a deep upper-level trough ushering northerly winds, persistent cloud cover, and scattered light showers that suppressed daytime heating—well below the mid-May climatological average of 18–20°C. This alignment underscores the wisdom of crowds in aggregating forecast uncertainty. Realistic challenges are rare but could include official data revisions from measurement anomalies or station-specific discrepancies, with final daily climate summaries expected to verify.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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