Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model runs point to Miami overnight lows near 76–78 °F on May 20, driven by typical late-spring easterly flow and scattered thunderstorm activity that can suppress daytime heating but rarely allow sharp nocturnal cooling. Historical May climatology shows average lows of 76 °F, with only modest day-to-day variability unless a stronger frontal boundary arrives—none is currently forecast. Trader emphasis on the 73 °F-or-below bucket reflects uncertainty in how much additional cloud cover or rainfall could trim temperatures a few degrees below guidance, while the clustering around 76–79 °F captures the most probable outcome range given current steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures in the region. Updated short-range model guidance expected within 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Miami on May 20?
76-77°F 27%
78-79°F 22%
80-81°F 20%
82-83°F 19%
73°F or below
14%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
27%
78-79°F
22%
80-81°F
20%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
6%
86-87°F
5%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
1%
92°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 27%
78-79°F 22%
80-81°F 20%
82-83°F 19%
73°F or below
14%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
27%
78-79°F
22%
80-81°F
20%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
6%
86-87°F
5%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
1%
92°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIARecent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model runs point to Miami overnight lows near 76–78 °F on May 20, driven by typical late-spring easterly flow and scattered thunderstorm activity that can suppress daytime heating but rarely allow sharp nocturnal cooling. Historical May climatology shows average lows of 76 °F, with only modest day-to-day variability unless a stronger frontal boundary arrives—none is currently forecast. Trader emphasis on the 73 °F-or-below bucket reflects uncertainty in how much additional cloud cover or rainfall could trim temperatures a few degrees below guidance, while the clustering around 76–79 °F captures the most probable outcome range given current steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures in the region. Updated short-range model guidance expected within 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย