Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a lowest temperature of 76-77°F (32%) or 78-79°F (27%) at Miami International Airport on May 16, driven by the latest National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF model ensembles projecting an overnight low in that narrow range amid persistent southerly winds and high dewpoints near 73°F that curb significant radiational cooling. Recent developments include partial clearing after evening showers on May 14-15, which allowed yesterday's low around 82°F but with models now showing reduced cloud cover overnight, nudging probabilities toward the mid-70s; however, urban heat island effects and sea breeze moisture create 2-3°F uncertainty between outcomes. Key differentiator: ECMWF slightly cooler than GFS due to earlier clearing. Watch afternoon model updates and NWS evening forecast for shifts before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Miami on May 16?
Lowest temperature in Miami on May 16?
76-77°F 32%
78-79°F 29%
74-75°F 12%
73°F or below 10.6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 16, 2026
73°F or below
11%
74-75°F
12%
76-77°F
32%
78-79°F
29%
80-81°F
9%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 32%
78-79°F 29%
74-75°F 12%
73°F or below 10.6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 16, 2026
73°F or below
$270 ปริมาณ
11%
74-75°F
$56 ปริมาณ
12%
76-77°F
$22 ปริมาณ
32%
78-79°F
$54 ปริมาณ
29%
80-81°F
$105 ปริมาณ
9%
82-83°F
$409 ปริมาณ
1%
84-85°F
$158 ปริมาณ
1%
86-87°F
$155 ปริมาณ
1%
88-89°F
$472 ปริมาณ
1%
90-91°F
$452 ปริมาณ
<1%
92°F or higher
$1,562 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a lowest temperature of 76-77°F (32%) or 78-79°F (27%) at Miami International Airport on May 16, driven by the latest National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF model ensembles projecting an overnight low in that narrow range amid persistent southerly winds and high dewpoints near 73°F that curb significant radiational cooling. Recent developments include partial clearing after evening showers on May 14-15, which allowed yesterday's low around 82°F but with models now showing reduced cloud cover overnight, nudging probabilities toward the mid-70s; however, urban heat island effects and sea breeze moisture create 2-3°F uncertainty between outcomes. Key differentiator: ECMWF slightly cooler than GFS due to earlier clearing. Watch afternoon model updates and NWS evening forecast for shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,716วันสิ้นสุด
May 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a lowest temperature of 76-77°F (32%) or 78-79°F (27%) at Miami International Airport on May 16, driven by the latest National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF model ensembles projecting an overnight low in that narrow range amid persistent southerly winds and high dewpoints near 73°F that curb significant radiational cooling. Recent developments include partial clearing after evening showers on May 14-15, which allowed yesterday's low around 82°F but with models now showing reduced cloud cover overnight, nudging probabilities toward the mid-70s; however, urban heat island effects and sea breeze moisture create 2-3°F uncertainty between outcomes. Key differentiator: ECMWF slightly cooler than GFS due to earlier clearing. Watch afternoon model updates and NWS evening forecast for shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,716วันสิ้นสุด
May 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIATrader consensus on Polymarket favors a lowest temperature of 76-77°F (32%) or 78-79°F (27%) at Miami International Airport on May 16, driven by the latest National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF model ensembles projecting an overnight low in that narrow range amid persistent southerly winds and high dewpoints near 73°F that curb significant radiational cooling. Recent developments include partial clearing after evening showers on May 14-15, which allowed yesterday's low around 82°F but with models now showing reduced cloud cover overnight, nudging probabilities toward the mid-70s; however, urban heat island effects and sea breeze moisture create 2-3°F uncertainty between outcomes. Key differentiator: ECMWF slightly cooler than GFS due to earlier clearing. Watch afternoon model updates and NWS evening forecast for shifts before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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