Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 45% probability for Miami's lowest temperature on May 17 at 78-79°F, closely tracking the National Weather Service's latest guidance and ensemble model runs forecasting an overnight low near 78°F under a dominant subtropical high pressure ridge. This positioning stems from recent clear skies and light southeast winds around 5-10 mph, which promote limited radiative cooling while high dewpoints in the mid-70s°F—elevated by persistent ocean influence and urban heat at Miami International Airport—prevent sharper drops. The past 48 hours logged similar lows around 78°F amid dry conditions, with no cold fronts inbound. Lower bins like 76-77°F (18%) reflect outlier cooler ensemble members, but uncertainty persists from potential isolated evening showers; watch 00Z GFS/ECMWF updates and NWS refinements on May 16 for shifts ahead of resolution via official ASOS observations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Miami on May 17?
Lowest temperature in Miami on May 17?
78-79°F 41%
76-77°F 18%
80-81°F 14%
74-75°F 13%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 17, 2026
73°F or below
3%
74-75°F
13%
76-77°F
18%
78-79°F
42%
80-81°F
14%
82-83°F
7%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 41%
76-77°F 18%
80-81°F 14%
74-75°F 13%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 17, 2026
73°F or below
$504 ปริมาณ
3%
74-75°F
$82 ปริมาณ
13%
76-77°F
$57 ปริมาณ
18%
78-79°F
$66 ปริมาณ
42%
80-81°F
$48 ปริมาณ
14%
82-83°F
$0 ปริมาณ
7%
84-85°F
$268 ปริมาณ
1%
86-87°F
$114 ปริมาณ
1%
88-89°F
$25 ปริมาณ
1%
90-91°F
$115 ปริมาณ
<1%
92°F or higher
$888 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 45% probability for Miami's lowest temperature on May 17 at 78-79°F, closely tracking the National Weather Service's latest guidance and ensemble model runs forecasting an overnight low near 78°F under a dominant subtropical high pressure ridge. This positioning stems from recent clear skies and light southeast winds around 5-10 mph, which promote limited radiative cooling while high dewpoints in the mid-70s°F—elevated by persistent ocean influence and urban heat at Miami International Airport—prevent sharper drops. The past 48 hours logged similar lows around 78°F amid dry conditions, with no cold fronts inbound. Lower bins like 76-77°F (18%) reflect outlier cooler ensemble members, but uncertainty persists from potential isolated evening showers; watch 00Z GFS/ECMWF updates and NWS refinements on May 16 for shifts ahead of resolution via official ASOS observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,167วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 45% probability for Miami's lowest temperature on May 17 at 78-79°F, closely tracking the National Weather Service's latest guidance and ensemble model runs forecasting an overnight low near 78°F under a dominant subtropical high pressure ridge. This positioning stems from recent clear skies and light southeast winds around 5-10 mph, which promote limited radiative cooling while high dewpoints in the mid-70s°F—elevated by persistent ocean influence and urban heat at Miami International Airport—prevent sharper drops. The past 48 hours logged similar lows around 78°F amid dry conditions, with no cold fronts inbound. Lower bins like 76-77°F (18%) reflect outlier cooler ensemble members, but uncertainty persists from potential isolated evening showers; watch 00Z GFS/ECMWF updates and NWS refinements on May 16 for shifts ahead of resolution via official ASOS observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,167วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIATrader consensus on Polymarket implies a 45% probability for Miami's lowest temperature on May 17 at 78-79°F, closely tracking the National Weather Service's latest guidance and ensemble model runs forecasting an overnight low near 78°F under a dominant subtropical high pressure ridge. This positioning stems from recent clear skies and light southeast winds around 5-10 mph, which promote limited radiative cooling while high dewpoints in the mid-70s°F—elevated by persistent ocean influence and urban heat at Miami International Airport—prevent sharper drops. The past 48 hours logged similar lows around 78°F amid dry conditions, with no cold fronts inbound. Lower bins like 76-77°F (18%) reflect outlier cooler ensemble members, but uncertainty persists from potential isolated evening showers; watch 00Z GFS/ECMWF updates and NWS refinements on May 16 for shifts ahead of resolution via official ASOS observations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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