Recent National Weather Service model consensus points to a daytime high near 66–68°F for San Francisco on May 17, driven by strengthening high pressure that should allow partial marine-layer burn-off and modest warming under mostly sunny skies with west winds of 10–15 mph. Persistent onshore flow from the Pacific continues to advect cooler air, holding temperatures close to the May climatological average of 67°F and preventing stronger inland heating. Recent runs show only minor spread between GFS and ECMWF solutions, with any thicker stratus lingering overnight likely capping peaks in the mid-60s rather than pushing into the upper 60s or low 70s. Traders are therefore balancing the 35.5 % chance of 68 °F or higher against the 31 % probability of 66–67 °F, with resolution hinging on final afternoon observations at San Francisco International Airport.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in San Francisco on May 17?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on May 17?
68°F or higher 38%
66-67°F 32%
64-65°F 17%
62-63°F 5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 17, 2026
49°F or below
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
5%
64-65°F
17%
66-67°F
32%
68°F or higher
38%
68°F or higher 38%
66-67°F 32%
64-65°F 17%
62-63°F 5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 17, 2026
49°F or below
$889 ปริมาณ
<1%
50-51°F
$411 ปริมาณ
<1%
52-53°F
$360 ปริมาณ
<1%
54-55°F
$251 ปริมาณ
<1%
56-57°F
$1,387 ปริมาณ
<1%
58-59°F
$634 ปริมาณ
<1%
60-61°F
$187 ปริมาณ
<1%
62-63°F
$544 ปริมาณ
5%
64-65°F
$223 ปริมาณ
17%
66-67°F
$124 ปริมาณ
32%
68°F or higher
$149 ปริมาณ
38%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service model consensus points to a daytime high near 66–68°F for San Francisco on May 17, driven by strengthening high pressure that should allow partial marine-layer burn-off and modest warming under mostly sunny skies with west winds of 10–15 mph. Persistent onshore flow from the Pacific continues to advect cooler air, holding temperatures close to the May climatological average of 67°F and preventing stronger inland heating. Recent runs show only minor spread between GFS and ECMWF solutions, with any thicker stratus lingering overnight likely capping peaks in the mid-60s rather than pushing into the upper 60s or low 70s. Traders are therefore balancing the 35.5 % chance of 68 °F or higher against the 31 % probability of 66–67 °F, with resolution hinging on final afternoon observations at San Francisco International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,159วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service model consensus points to a daytime high near 66–68°F for San Francisco on May 17, driven by strengthening high pressure that should allow partial marine-layer burn-off and modest warming under mostly sunny skies with west winds of 10–15 mph. Persistent onshore flow from the Pacific continues to advect cooler air, holding temperatures close to the May climatological average of 67°F and preventing stronger inland heating. Recent runs show only minor spread between GFS and ECMWF solutions, with any thicker stratus lingering overnight likely capping peaks in the mid-60s rather than pushing into the upper 60s or low 70s. Traders are therefore balancing the 35.5 % chance of 68 °F or higher against the 31 % probability of 66–67 °F, with resolution hinging on final afternoon observations at San Francisco International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,159วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFORecent National Weather Service model consensus points to a daytime high near 66–68°F for San Francisco on May 17, driven by strengthening high pressure that should allow partial marine-layer burn-off and modest warming under mostly sunny skies with west winds of 10–15 mph. Persistent onshore flow from the Pacific continues to advect cooler air, holding temperatures close to the May climatological average of 67°F and preventing stronger inland heating. Recent runs show only minor spread between GFS and ECMWF solutions, with any thicker stratus lingering overnight likely capping peaks in the mid-60s rather than pushing into the upper 60s or low 70s. Traders are therefore balancing the 35.5 % chance of 68 °F or higher against the 31 % probability of 66–67 °F, with resolution hinging on final afternoon observations at San Francisco International Airport.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย