Current short-range forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models place Tokyo’s overnight minimum on May 19 near 18–20 °C, producing the tight market clustering around those three outcomes. Mid-May climatology shows average lows of 14–17 °C, yet recent high-pressure ridging and lighter winds are supporting slightly milder readings, with dew-point and boundary-layer mixing the main variables that could shift the recorded minimum by 1–2 °C. Model spread remains modest three days out, so traders are weighting the consensus guidance while leaving room for last-model adjustments before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Tokyo on May 19?
19°C 24%
20°C 20%
18°C 19%
21°C 10%
14°C or below
1%
15°C
3%
16°C
2%
17°C
5%
18°C
19%
19°C
24%
20°C
20%
21°C
10%
22°C
5%
23°C
2%
24°C or higher
1%
19°C 24%
20°C 20%
18°C 19%
21°C 10%
14°C or below
1%
15°C
3%
16°C
2%
17°C
5%
18°C
19%
19°C
24%
20°C
20%
21°C
10%
22°C
5%
23°C
2%
24°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTCurrent short-range forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models place Tokyo’s overnight minimum on May 19 near 18–20 °C, producing the tight market clustering around those three outcomes. Mid-May climatology shows average lows of 14–17 °C, yet recent high-pressure ridging and lighter winds are supporting slightly milder readings, with dew-point and boundary-layer mixing the main variables that could shift the recorded minimum by 1–2 °C. Model spread remains modest three days out, so traders are weighting the consensus guidance while leaving room for last-model adjustments before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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