Recent Japan Meteorological Agency model runs and ensemble guidance point to overnight radiative cooling under a strengthening surface high, positioning Tokyo’s May 17 minimum near 16–17 °C. Light northwesterly flow off the Kanto Plain and limited cloud cover should allow temperatures to drop to the mid-teens before dawn, yet modest moisture advection from the Pacific could limit further cooling to the low 17 °C range. Historical climatology for mid-May shows the 14–18 °C envelope as typical, with the current tight market spread reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any frontal passage rather than strong directional bias. Updated 00 UTC model cycles tomorrow will likely sharpen the resolution window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Tokyo on May 17?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on May 17?
17°C 24%
16°C 22%
18°C 18%
19°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 17, 2026
14°C or below
3%
15°C
2%
16°C
28%
17°C
24%
18°C
18%
19°C
9%
20°C
2%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
17°C 24%
16°C 22%
18°C 18%
19°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 17, 2026
14°C or below
$300 ปริมาณ
3%
15°C
$121 ปริมาณ
2%
16°C
$35 ปริมาณ
28%
17°C
$44 ปริมาณ
24%
18°C
$53 ปริมาณ
18%
19°C
$67 ปริมาณ
9%
20°C
$180 ปริมาณ
2%
21°C
$337 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$130 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$397 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C or higher
$319 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency model runs and ensemble guidance point to overnight radiative cooling under a strengthening surface high, positioning Tokyo’s May 17 minimum near 16–17 °C. Light northwesterly flow off the Kanto Plain and limited cloud cover should allow temperatures to drop to the mid-teens before dawn, yet modest moisture advection from the Pacific could limit further cooling to the low 17 °C range. Historical climatology for mid-May shows the 14–18 °C envelope as typical, with the current tight market spread reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any frontal passage rather than strong directional bias. Updated 00 UTC model cycles tomorrow will likely sharpen the resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,982วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency model runs and ensemble guidance point to overnight radiative cooling under a strengthening surface high, positioning Tokyo’s May 17 minimum near 16–17 °C. Light northwesterly flow off the Kanto Plain and limited cloud cover should allow temperatures to drop to the mid-teens before dawn, yet modest moisture advection from the Pacific could limit further cooling to the low 17 °C range. Historical climatology for mid-May shows the 14–18 °C envelope as typical, with the current tight market spread reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any frontal passage rather than strong directional bias. Updated 00 UTC model cycles tomorrow will likely sharpen the resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,982วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTRecent Japan Meteorological Agency model runs and ensemble guidance point to overnight radiative cooling under a strengthening surface high, positioning Tokyo’s May 17 minimum near 16–17 °C. Light northwesterly flow off the Kanto Plain and limited cloud cover should allow temperatures to drop to the mid-teens before dawn, yet modest moisture advection from the Pacific could limit further cooling to the low 17 °C range. Historical climatology for mid-May shows the 14–18 °C envelope as typical, with the current tight market spread reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any frontal passage rather than strong directional bias. Updated 00 UTC model cycles tomorrow will likely sharpen the resolution window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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